Is there a way to pracยญtice clear thinking?
Iโm on a misยญsion to think betยญter.
As a PR proยญfesยญsionยญal, I often meet with experยญiยญenced, intelยญliยญgent, ambiยญtious, conยญscienยญtious, creยญatยญive, and highly motivยญated decision-makers. If you have the finยญanยญcial manยญdate to invest in pubยญlic relaยญtions counยญsel, youโre likely to be a perยญson of substance.
Still, Iโm amazed almost daily at how othยญerยญwise accomยญplished indiยญviduยญals can think wrong so freยญquently. At first, I thought that this meant that I was very clevยญerโโโuntil I realยญised that I was just as stuยญpid as often as they were.
Whatโs going on here?
And is there a remedy?
Here we go:
Intelligence vs Clear Thinking
To begin, I would like to make a distinction:
Intelligence. This measยญure is based on menยญtal capaยญcity (genetยญics, epiยญgenยญetยญics, and neuroplasticity).
Clear thinkยญing. This skill is based on menยญtal comยญpetยญence (knowยญledge, experยญiยญence, and practice).
Using this disยญtincยญtion, intelยญliยญgence is chalยญlenยญging to improve. Your genetยญics are what they areโโโfor betยญter or worse. Intelligence might be affected by โswitchยญingโ cerยญtain gene expresยญsions on and off durยญing your lifetime.
Still, sciยญence doesnโt thorยญoughly underยญstand epiยญgenยญetยญics enough to sugยญgest pracยญticยญal intelยญliยญgence-enhanยญcing applicยญaยญtions for the genยญerยญal public.
What we know of neuroยญplasยญtiยญcity sugยญgests that we can restore and build new neurยญoยญloยญgicยญal pathยญways, mainly by adherยญing to desirยญable habits over longer periods.
Iโve explored how to improve intelยญliยญgence in The Creativity Project: Image Streaming.
In this blog post, Iโll explore clear thinkยญing.
Logical Fallacies and Biases
List of Logical Fallacies and Biases
We easยญily fall prey to the tricks our psyยญchoยญlogy plays on us. These โthinkยญing errorsโ exist because theyโve often aided our surยญvivยญal. However, knowยญing and underยญstandยญing variยญous types of comยญmon falยญlaยญcies and biases is helpยญful in everyยญday life.
Here are a few examples of logicยญal falยญlaยญcies and biases that Iโve come across while studyยญing pubยญlic relaยญtions and linguistics:
Learn more: 58 Logical Fallacies and Biases
Types of Bad Thinking Habits
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Types of Bad Thinking Habits
Underpinning most of our thinkยญing misยญtakes, some psyยญchoยญloยญgicยญally induced thinkยญing habits seem to affect our abilยญity to think clearly. Understanding (and avoidยญing) these behaยญviยญourยญal patยญterns should allow for clear thinking.
Understanding these difยญferยญent types of thinkยญing can help identiยญfy and address cogยญnitยญive falยญlaยญcies and biases in decision-makยญing and probยญlem-solvยญing processes.
Learn more: Types of Bad Thinking Habits
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How To Create Knowledge
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How To Create Knowledge
โIf you canยญโt explain it simply, you donโt underยญstand it well enough.โ
โ Albert Einstein
This list of how to creยญate knowยญledge presents aspects of reasยญonยญing, methยญodยญoยญloยญgicยญal approaches, data anaยญlysยญis perยญspectยญives, and philoยญsophยญicยญal frameยญworks. It explains how knowยญledge can be approached, anaยญlysed, and interpreted.
Types of Reasoning and Logical Processes
Methodological Approaches
Data and Analysis Perspectives
Philosophical and Theoretical Frameworks
Learn more: How To Create Knowledge
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Mental Models: How To Think BetterโโโFaster
Mental Models: Be a Better Thinker
Mental modยญels emphasยญise the importยญance of viewยญing probยญlems from mulยญtiple perยญspectยญives, recogยญnising perยญsonยญal limยญitยญaยญtions, and underยญstandยญing the often unforeยญseen interยญacยญtions between difยญferยญent factors.
โYou only have to do a few things right in your life so long as you donโt do too many things wrong.โ
โ Warren Buffett
The writยญings of Charlie Munger, Vice Chairman of Berkshire Hathaway and long-time colยญlabยญorยญatยญor of Warren Buffett and many othยญers, inspire sevยญerยญal of the below modยญels.1Itโs worth notยญing that these modยญels are not exclusยญively Charlie Mungerโs invenยญtions but tools he advocยญates for effectยญive thinkยญing and decision-makยญing.
List of Mental Models
Hereโs a list of my favourยญite menยญtal models:
The iron preยญscripยญtion (menยญtal modยญel). Charlie Munger: โI have what I call an โiron preยญscripยญtionโ that helps me keep sane when I natยญurยญally drift toward preยญferยญring one ideoยญlogy over anothยญer. I feel that Iโm not entitled to have an opinยญion unless I can state the arguยญments against my posยญiยญtion betยญter than the people who are in opposยญiยญtion. I think that I am qualยญiยญfied to speak only when Iโve reached that stateโ (Knodell, 2016). 2Knodell, P. A. (2016). All I want to know is where Iโm going to die so Iโll nevยญer go there: Buffett & Munger โ A study in simยญpliยญcity and uncomยญmon, comยญmon sense. PAK Publishing.
The Red Queen effect (menยญtal modยญel). This metaยญphor oriยญginยญates from Lewis Carrollโs Through the Looking-Glass. It describes a situยญation in which one must conยญtinuยญously adapt, evolve, and work to mainยญtain oneโs posยญiยญtion. In the story, the Red Queen is a charยญacยญter who explains to Alice that in their world, runยญning as fast as one can is necesยญsary just to stay in the same place. The metaยญphor is often used in the conยญtext of busiยญnesses that need to innovยญate conยญstantly to stay comยญpetยญitยญive, highยญlightยญing the relentยญless presยญsure to adapt in dynamยญic envirยญonยญments where stagยญnaยญtion can mean fallยญing behind. 3Red Queen hypoยญthesยญis. (2023, November 27). In Wikipedia. https://โenโ.wikiโpeโdiaโ.org/โwโiโkโiโ/โRโeโdโ_โQโuโeโeโnโ_โhโyโpโoโtโhโeโsis 4Carroll, L. (2006). Through the lookยญing-glass, and what Alice found there (R. D. Martin, Ed.). Penguin Classics. (Original work pubยญlished 1871.)
Ockamโs razor (menยญtal modยญel). This prinยญciple sugยญgests that the simplest explanยญaยญtion is usuยญally corยญrect. The one with the fewยญest assumpยญtions should be selecยญted when presenยญted with comยญpetยญing hypoยญtheses. Itโs a tool for cutยญting through comยญplexยญity and focusยญing on whatโs most likely true. 5Ariew, R. (1976). Ockhamโs Razor: A hisยญtorยญicยญal and philoยญsophยญicยญal anaยญlysยญis of simยญpliยญcity in sciยญence. Scientific American, 234(3), 88โโโ93.
Hanlonโs razor (menยญtal modยญel). This thinkยญing aid advises against attribยญutยญing to malice what can be adequately explained by incomยญpetยญence or misยญtake. It reminds us to look for more straightยญforยญward explanยญaยญtions before jumpยญing to conยญcluยญsions about someoneโs intenยญtions. 6Hanlon, R. J. (1980). Murphyโs Law book two: More reasยญons why things go wrong!. Los Angeles: Price Stern Sloan.
Vaguely right vs preยญcisely wrong (menยญtal modยญel). This prinยญciple sugยญgests it is betยญter to be approxยญimยญately corยญrect than 100% incorยญrect. In many situยญations, seekยญing preยญciยญsion can lead to errors if the underยญlyยญing assumpยญtions or data are flawed. Sometimes, a rough estimยญate is more valuยญable than a preยญcise but potenยญtially misยญleadยญing figยญure. 7Keynes, J. M. (1936). The genยญerยญal theยญory of employยญment, interest, and money. London: Macmillan.
Fat pitch (menยญtal modยญel). Borrowed from baseยญball, this concept refers to waitยญing patiently for the perยญfect opporยญtunยญityโโโa situยญation where the chances of sucยญcess are excepยญtionยญally high. It sugยญgests the importยญance of patience and strikยญing when the time is right. 8Kaufman, P. A. (Ed.). (2005). Poor Charlieโs almanยญack: The wit and wisยญdom of Charles T. Munger. Virginia Beach, VA: Donning Company Publishers.
Chestertonโs fence (menยญtal modยญel). G.K. Chesterton: โIn the matยญter of reformยญing things, as disยญtinct from deformยญing them, there is one plain and simple prinยญciple; a prinยญciple which will probยญably be called a paraยญdox. There exists in such a case a cerยญtain instiยญtuยญtion or law; let us say, for the sake of simยญpliยญcity, a fence or gate erecยญted across a road. The more modยญern type of reformer goes gaily up to it and says, โI donโt see the use of this; let us clear it away.โ To which the more intelยญliยญgent type of reformer will do well to answer: โIf you donโt see the use of it, I cerยญtainly wonโt let you clear it away. Go away and think. Then, when you can come back and tell me that you do see the use of it, I may allow you to desยญtroy itโ (Chesterton, 1929). 9Chesterton, G. K. (1929). โThe Drift from Domesticityโ. Archived 6 November 2018 at the Wayback Machine In: The Thing. London: Sheed & Ward, p. 35
First-conยญcluยญsion bias (menยญtal modยญel). This is the tendยญency to stick with the first conยญcluยญsion without conยญsidยญerยญing alternยญatยญive posยญsibยญilยญitยญies or addiยญtionยญal informยญaยญtion. Itโs a cogยญnitยญive bias that can impede critยญicยญal thinkยญing and thorยญough analysis.
First prinยญciples thinkยญing (menยญtal modยญel). This approach involves breakยญing down comยญplex probยญlems into their most basic eleยญments and then reasยญsembling them from the ground up. Itโs about getยญting to the funยญdaยญmentยญal truths of a situยญation and buildยญing your underยญstandยญing from there rather than relyยญing on assumpยญtions or conยญvenยญtionยญal wisdom.
The map is not the terยญritยญory (menยญtal modยญel). This modยญel reminds us that repยญresยญentยญaยญtions of realยญity are not realยญity itself. Maps, modยญels, and descripยญtions are simยญpliยญficยญaยญtions and canยญnot capยญture every aspect of the actuยญal terยญritยญory or situยญation. Itโs a cauยญtion against over-relyยญing on modยญels and theยญorยญies without conยญsidยญerยญing the nuances of real-world situยญations. 10Silfwer, J. (2022, November 3). Walter Lippmann: Public Opinion and Perception Management. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โdocโtorโspinโ.net/โwโaโlโtโeโrโ-โlโiโpโpโmโaโnn/
Bell curve (menยญtal modยญel). This curve is a graphยญicยญal depicยญtion of a norยญmal disยญtriยญbuยญtion, showยญing how many occurยญrences fall near the mean value and fewยญer occur as you move away from the mean. In decision-makยญing, itโs used to underยญstand and antiยญcipยญate variยญabยญilยญity and to recogยญnise that while extreme cases exist, most outยญcomes will cluster around the average.
Compounding (menยญtal modยญel). Often used in the conยญtext of finยญance, comยญpoundยญing refers to the proยญcess where the value of an investยญment increases because the earnยญings on an investยญment, both capยญitยญal gains and interest, earn interest as time passes. This prinยญciple can be applied more broadly to underยญstand how small, conยญsistยญent efforts can yield sigยญniยญficยญant long-term results.
Survival of the fitยญtest (menยญtal modยญel). Borrowed from evolยญuยญtionยญary bioยญlogy, this menยญtal modยญel sugยญgests that only those best adapยญted to their envirยญonยญment surยญvive and thrive. In a busiยญness conยญtext, it can refer to comยญpanยญies that adapt to chanยญging marยญket conยญdiยญtions and are more likely to succeed.
Mr. Market (menยญtal modยญel). A metaยญphor creยญated by Benjamin Graham repยญresยญents the stock marยญketโs mood swings from optimยญism to pessยญimยญism. Itโs used to illusยญtrate emoยญtionยญal reacยญtions in the marยญket and the importยญance of mainยญtainยญing objectivยญity.
Source: Graham, B. (2006) 11Graham, B. (2006). The intelยญliยญgent investor: The definยญitยญive book on value investยญing (Rev. ed., updated with new comยญmentยญary by J. Zweig). Harper Business. (Original work pubยญlished 1949.)
Second-order thinkยญing (menยญtal modยญel). This kind of thinkยญing goes beyยญond the immeยญdiยญate effects of an action to conยญsider the subยญsequent effects. Itโs about thinkยญing ahead and underยญstandยญing the longer-term conยญsequences of decisions beyยญond just the immeยญdiยญate results.
Law of diminยญishยญing returns (menยญtal modยญel). This ecoยญnomยญic prinยญciple states that as investยญment in a parยญticยญuยญlar area increases, the rate of profit from that investยญment, after a cerยญtain point, canยญnot increase proยญporยญtionยญally and may even decrease. Itโs essenยญtial to underยญstand when addiยญtionยญal investยญment yields proยญgressยญively smalยญler returns. 12Diminishing returns. (2024, November 15). Wikipedia. https://โenโ.wikiโpeโdiaโ.org/โwโiโkโiโ/โDโiโmโiโnโiโsโhโiโnโgโ_โrโeโtโuโrns
Opportunity cost (menยญtal modยญel). This concept refers to the potenยญtial beneยญfits one misses out on when choosยญing one alternยญatยญive over anothยญer. Itโs the cost of the folยญlowยญing best option foreยญgone. Understanding opporยญtunยญity costs helps make informed decisions by conยญsidยญerยญing what to give up when choosing.
Swiss Army knife approach (menยญtal modยญel). This concept emphasยญises the importยญance of havยญing diverse tools (or skills). Being verยญsatยญile and adaptยญable in variยญous situยญations is valuยญable, like a Swiss Army knife. This modยญel is beneยญfiยญcial for uncerยญtain and volatยญile situยญations. Thereโs also a case to be made for genยญerยญalยญists in a speยญcialยญised world. 13Parsons, M., & Pearson-Freeland, M. (Hosts). (2021, August 8). Charlie Munger: Latticework of menยญtal modยญels (No. 139) [Audio podยญcast episยญode]. In Moonshots podยญcast: Learning out loud. โฆ Continue readยญing 14Epstein, D. (2019). Range: Why genยญerยญalยญists triยญumph in a speยญcialยญized world. Riverhead Books.
Acceleration theยญory (menยญtal modยญel). This concept indicยญates that the winยญner mustnโt lead the race from start to finยญish. Mathematically, delayยญing maxยญimยญum โspeedโ by proยญlongยญing the slower accelยญerยญaยญtion phase will get you across the finยญish line faster. 15Silfwer, J. (2012, October 31). The Acceleration Theory: Use Momentum To Finish First. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โdocโtorโspinโ.net/โaโcโcโeโlโeโrโaโtโiโoโnโ-โtโhโeโoโry/
Manage ExpectationsโThis concept involves setยญting realยญistยญic expectยญaยญtions for yourยญself and othยญers. Itโs about alignยญing hopes and preยญdicยญtions with what is achievยญable and probยญable, thus reduยญcing disยญapยญpointยญment and increasยญing satยญisยญfacยญtion. Effective expectยญaยญtion manยญageยญment can lead to betยญter perยญsonยญal and proยญfesยญsionยญal relaยญtionยญships and outcomes.
TechlashโThis menยญtal modยญel acknowยญledges that while techยญnoยญlogy can provide soluยญtions, it can creยญate antiยญcipยญated and unantiยญcipยญated probยญlems. Itโs a remindยญer to approach techยญnoยญloยญgicยญal innovยญaยญtions cauยญtiously, conยญsidยญerยญing potenยญtial negยญatยญive impacts alongยญside the beneยญfits. 16Silfwer, J. (2018, December 27). The Techlash: Our Great Confusion. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โdocโtorโspinโ.net/โtโeโcโhโlโaโsh/
Worldโs Most Intelligent QuestionโThis menยญtal modยญel refers to repeatedly askยญing โWhy?โ to delve deepยญer into a probยญlem and underยญstand its root causes. By conยญtinuยญally askยญing why someยญthing hapยญpens, one can uncovยญer layยญers of underยญstandยญing that might remain hidden.
Regression to the MeanโThis statยญistยญicยญal prinยญciple states that extreme events are likely to be folยญlowed by more modยญerยญate ones. Over time, valยญues tend to revert to the averยญage, a concept relยญevยญant in many areas, from sports perยญformยญance to busiยญness metrics.
False DichotomyโThis logicยญal falยญlacy occurs when a situยญation is presenยญted as havยญing only two exclusยญive and mutuยญally exhaustยญive options when othยญer posยญsibยญilยญitยญies exist. It overยญsimยญpliยญfies comยญplex issues into an โeither/โorโ choice. For instance, sayยญing, โYou are either with us or against us,โ ignores the posยญsibยญilยญity of neutยญral or alternยญatยญive positions.
InversionโInversion involves lookยญing at probยญlems backยญwards or from the end goal. Instead of thinkยญing about how to achieve someยญthing, you conยญsider what would preยญvent it from hapยญpenยญing. This can reveal hidยญden obstacles and alternยญatยญive solutions.
Psychology of Human MisjudgmentโThis menยญtal modยญel refers to underยญstandยญing the comยญmon biases and errors in human thinkยญing. By knowยญing how cogยญnitยญive biases, like conยญfirmยญaยญtion bias or the anchorยญing effect, can lead to flawed reasยญonยญing, one can make more rationยญal and objectยญive decisions.
Slow is Smooth, Smooth is FastโOften used in milยญitยญary and tacยญticยญal trainยญing, this phrase encapยญsuยญlates the idea that someยญtimes, slowยญing down can lead to faster overยญall proยญgress. The prinยญciple is that takยญing delibยญerยญate, conยญsidered actions reduces misยญtakes and inefยญfiยญcienยญcies, which can lead to faster outยญcomes in the long run. In pracยญtice, it means planยญning, trainยญing, and executยญing with care, leadยญing to smoothยญer, more effiยญcient operยญaยญtions that achieve objectยญives faster than rushed, less thoughtยญful efforts. 17Silfwer, J. (2020, April 24). Slow is Smooth, Smooth is Fast. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โdocโtorโspinโ.net/โsโlโoโwโ-โiโsโ-โsโmโoโoโth/
Because You Are Worth ItโThis menยญtal modยญel focuses on self-worth and investยญing in oneยญself. It sugยญgests recogยญnizยญing and affirmยญing oneโs value is cruยญcial for perยญsonยญal growth, hapยญpiยญness, and sucยญcess. This can involve self-care, eduยญcaยญtion, or simply makยญing choices that reflect oneโs value and potential.
Physics EnvyโThis term describes the desire to apply the preยญciยญsion and cerยญtainty of physยญics to fields where such exactitude is impossible, like ecoยญnomยญics or social sciยญences. Itโs a cauยญtion against overยญreยญliยญance on quantยญitยญatยญive methยญods in areas where qualยญitยญatยญive aspects play a sigยญniยญficยญant role.
Easy Street StrategyโThis prinยญciple sugยญgests that simยญpler soluยญtions are often betยญter and more effectยญive than comยญplex ones. In decision-makยญing and probยญlem-solvยญing, seekยญing straightยญforยญward, clear-cut soluยญtions can often lead to betยญter outยญcomes than purยญsuยญing overly comยญplicยญated strategies. 18Silfwer, J. (2021, January 27). The Easy Street PR Strategy: Keep It Simple To Win. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โdocโtorโspinโ.net/โeโaโsโyโ-โsโtโrโeโeโtโ-โpโrโ-โsโtโrโaโtโeโgy/
Scale is KeyโThis concept highยญlights how the impact of decisions or actions can vary draยญmatยญicยญally dependยญing on their scale. What works well on a small scale might not be effectยญive or feasยญible on a larยญger scale, and vice versa.
Circle of CompetenceโThis concept involves recogยญnizยญing and underยญstandยญing oneโs areas of expertยญise and limยญitยญaยญtions. The idea is to focus on areas where you have the most knowยญledge and experยญiยญence rather than venยญturยญing into fields where you lack expertยญise, thereby increasยญing the likeยญliยญhood of success.
Fail Fast, Fail OftenโBy failยญing fast, you quickly learn what doesยญnโt work, which helps in refinยญing your approach or pivotยญing to someยญthing more promยญising. Failing often is seen not as a series of setยญbacks but as a necesยญsary part of the proยญcess towards sucยญcess. This mindยญset encourยญages experยญiยญmentยญaยญtion, risk-takยญing, and learnยญing from misยญtakes, emphasยญising agilยญity and adaptability.
Correlation Do Not Equal CausationโThis prinยญciple is a critยญicยญal remindยญer in data anaยญlysยญis and sciยญentifยญic research. Just because two variยญables show a corยญrelยญaยญtion (they seem to move togethยญer or oppose each othยญer) does not mean one causes the othยญer. Other variยญables could be at play, or it might be a coincidence.
Critical MassโThis menยญtal modยญel emphasยญizes the importยญance of reachยญing a cerยญtain threshold to trigยญger a sigยญniยญficยญant change, whethยญer user adopยญtion, marยญket penยญetยญraยญtion, or social moveยญment growth. This modยญel guides straยญtegic decisions, such as resource allocยญaยญtion, marยญketยญing strategies, and timยญing of iniยญtiยญatยญives, to effectยญively reach and surยญpass this cruยญcial point. 19Silfwer, J. (2019, March 10). Critical Mass: How Many Social Media Followers Do You Need? Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โdocโtorโspinโ.net/โcโrโiโtโiโcโaโlโ-โmโaโsโsโ-โfโoโlโlโoโwโeโrs/
Sorites ParadoxโAlso known as the paraยญdox of the heap, this paraยญdox arises from vague preยญdicยญates. It involves a sequence of small changes that donโt seem to make a difยญferยญence indiยญviduยญally but, when accuยญmuยญlated, lead to a sigยญniยญficยญant change where the exact point of change is indisยญcernยญible. For example, if you keep removยญing grains of sand from a heap, when does it stop being a heap? Each grain doesยญnโt seem to make a difยญferยญence, but evenยญtuยญally, youโre left with no heap.
The Power of Cycle TimesโMathematically, reduยญcing cycle times in a proยญcess that grows expoยญnenยญtially (like conยญtent sharยญing on social netยญworks) drasticยญally increases the growth rate, leadยญing to faster and wider disยญsemยญinยญaยญtion of the conยญtent, thereby drivยญing virยญalยญity. The comยญbinยญaยญtion of expoยญnenยญtial growth, netยญwork effects, and feedยญback loops makes cycle time a critยญicยญal factor. 20Letโs say the numยญber of new social media shares per cycle is a conยญstant mulยญtiยญpliยญer, m. If the cycle time is t and the total time under conยญsidยญerยญaยญtion is T, the numยญber of cycles in this time is T/โtโ. โฆ Continue readยญing 21Silfwer, J. (2017, February 6). Viral Loops (or How to Incentivise Social Media Sharing). Doctor Spin | the PR Blog. https://โdocโtorโspinโ.net/โvโiโrโaโlโ-โlโoโop/
Non-LinearityโThis menยญtal modยญel recogยญnises that outยญcomes in many situยญations are not dirยญectly proยญporยญtionยญal to the inputs or efforts. It sugยญgests that effects can be disยญproยญporยญtionยญate to their causes, either escalยญatยญing rapยญidly with small changes or remainยญing stagยญnant desยญpite sigยญniยญficยญant efforts. Understanding non-linยญearยญity helps in recogยญnizยญing and antiยญcipยญatยญing comยญplex patยญterns in variยญous phenomena.
ChecklistsโThis menยญtal modยญel stresses the importยญance of sysยญtemยญatยญic approaches to preยญvent misยญtakes and overยญsights. Using checkยญlists in comยญplex or repetยญitยญive tasks ensures that all necesยญsary steps are folยญlowed and nothยญing is overยญlooked, thereby increasยญing effiยญciency and accurยญacy. 22Silfwer, J. (2020, September 18). Communicative Leadership in Organisations. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โdocโtorโspinโ.net/โcโoโmโmโuโnโiโcโaโtโiโvโeโ-โlโeโaโdโeโrโsโhโip/
LollapaloozaโCoined by Munger, this term refers to situยญations where mulยญtiple factors, tendยญenยญcies, or biases interยญact so that the comยญbined effect is much greatยญer than the sum of indiยญviduยญal effects. Itโs a remindยญer of how variยญous eleยญments can conยญverge to creยญate sigยญniยญficยญant impacts, often unexยญpecยญted or unprecedented.
LimitsโThis menยญtal modยญel acknowยญledges that everything has boundยญarยญies or limยญits, beyยญond which there can be negยญatยญive conยญsequences. Recognising and respectยญing perยญsonยญal, proยญfesยญsionยญal, and physยญicยญal limยญits is essenยญtial for susยญtainยญable growth and success.
The 7WsโThis menยญtal modยญel refers to the pracยญtice of askยญing โWho, What, When, Where, Whyโ (and someยญtimes โHowโ) to underยญstand a situยญation or probยญlem fully. By sysยญtemยญatยญicยญally addressยญing these quesยญtions, one can comยญpreยญhensยญively underยญstand an issueโs conยญtext, causes, and potenยญtial soluยญtions, leadยญing to more informed decision-makยญing. 23Silfwer, J. (2020, September 18). The Checklist for Communicative Organisations. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โdocโtorโspinโ.net/โcโhโeโcโkโlโiโsโtโ-โfโoโrโ-โcโoโmโmโuโnโiโcโaโtโiโvโeโ-โlโeโaโdโeโrโsโhโip/
Chauffeur KnowledgeโThis menยญtal modยญel disยญtinยญguishes between havยญing a surยญface-level underยญstandยญing (like a chaufยญfeur who knows the route) and deep, genuยญine knowยญledge (like an expert who underยญstands the intricยญaยญcies of a subยญject). It warns against the illuยญsion of expertยญise based on superยญfiยญcial knowยญledge and emphasยญizes the importยญance of true, deep understanding.
Make Friends with Eminent DeadโThis menยญtal modยญel advocยญates learnยญing from the past, parยญticยญuยญlarly from sigยญniยญficยญant hisยญtorยญicยญal figยญures and their writยญings. Studying the experยญiยญences and thoughts of those who have excelled in their fields can yield valuยญable insights and wisdom.
Seizing the MiddleโThis strategy involves findยญing and mainยญtainยญing a balยญanced, modยญerยญate posยญiยญtion, espeยญcially in conยญflict or negoยญtiยญation. Itโs about avoidยญing extremes and findยญing a susยญtainยญable, middle-ground soluยญtion. Also, centre posยญiยญtions often offer the broadยญest range of options.
Asymmetric WarfareโThis refers to conยญflict between parties of unequal strength, where the weakยญer party uses unconยญvenยญtionยญal tacยญtics to exploit the vulยญnerยญabยญilยญitยญies of the stronger opponยญent. Itโs often disยญcussed in milยญitยญary and busiยญness contexts.
Boredom SyndromeโThis term refers to the human tendยญency to seek stimยญuยญlaยญtion or change when things become routine or monoยญtonยญous, which can lead to unneยญcesยญsary changes or risks. Sometimes, takยญing no action is betยญter than takยญing action, but remainยญing idle is someยญtimes difficult.
Survivorship BiasโThis cogยญnitยญive bias involves focusยญing on people or things that have โsurยญvivedโ some proยญcess and inadยญvertยญently overยญlookยญing those that did not due to their lack of visยญibยญilยญity. This can lead to false conยญcluยญsions because it ignores the experยญiยญences of those who did not make it through the proยญcess. 24Silfwer, J. (2019, October 17). Survivorship BiasโโโCorrelation Does Not Equal Causation. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โdocโtorโspinโ.net/โsโuโrโvโiโvโoโrโsโhโiโpโ-โbโiโas/
Each menยญtal modยญel offers a lens for viewยญing probยญlems, makยญing decisions, and strategising, reflectยญing the comยญplexยญity and diversity of thought required in variยญous fields and situations.
Numerous othยญer menยญtal modยญels are also used in variยญous fields, such as ecoยญnomยญics, psyยญchoยญlogy, and sysยญtems thinking.
Learn more: Mental Models: How To Be a Better Thinker
Thanks for readยญing. Please supยญport my blog by sharยญing artยญicles with othยญer comยญmuยญnicยญaยญtions and marยญketยญing proยญfesยญsionยญals. You might also conยญsider my PR serยญvices or speakยญing engageยญments.
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ANNOTATIONS
1 | Itโs worth notยญing that these modยญels are not exclusยญively Charlie Mungerโs invenยญtions but tools he advocยญates for effectยญive thinkยญing and decision-making. |
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2 | Knodell, P. A. (2016). All I want to know is where Iโm going to die so Iโll nevยญer go there: Buffett & Munger โ A study in simยญpliยญcity and uncomยญmon, comยญmon sense. PAK Publishing. |
3 | Red Queen hypoยญthesยญis. (2023, November 27). In Wikipedia. https://โenโ.wikiโpeโdiaโ.org/โwโiโkโiโ/โRโeโdโ_โQโuโeโeโnโ_โhโyโpโoโtโhโeโsis |
4 | Carroll, L. (2006). Through the lookยญing-glass, and what Alice found there (R. D. Martin, Ed.). Penguin Classics. (Original work pubยญlished 1871.) |
5 | Ariew, R. (1976). Ockhamโs Razor: A hisยญtorยญicยญal and philoยญsophยญicยญal anaยญlysยญis of simยญpliยญcity in sciยญence. Scientific American, 234(3), 88โโโ93. |
6 | Hanlon, R. J. (1980). Murphyโs Law book two: More reasยญons why things go wrong!. Los Angeles: Price Stern Sloan. |
7 | Keynes, J. M. (1936). The genยญerยญal theยญory of employยญment, interest, and money. London: Macmillan. |
8 | Kaufman, P. A. (Ed.). (2005). Poor Charlieโs almanยญack: The wit and wisยญdom of Charles T. Munger. Virginia Beach, VA: Donning Company Publishers. |
9 | Chesterton, G. K. (1929). โThe Drift from Domesticityโ. Archived 6 November 2018 at the Wayback Machine In: The Thing. London: Sheed & Ward, p. 35 |
10 | Silfwer, J. (2022, November 3). Walter Lippmann: Public Opinion and Perception Management. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โdocโtorโspinโ.net/โwโaโlโtโeโrโ-โlโiโpโpโmโaโnn/ |
11 | Graham, B. (2006). The intelยญliยญgent investor: The definยญitยญive book on value investยญing (Rev. ed., updated with new comยญmentยญary by J. Zweig). Harper Business. (Original work pubยญlished 1949.) |
12 | Diminishing returns. (2024, November 15). Wikipedia. https://โenโ.wikiโpeโdiaโ.org/โwโiโkโiโ/โDโiโmโiโnโiโsโhโiโnโgโ_โrโeโtโuโrns |
13 | Parsons, M., & Pearson-Freeland, M. (Hosts). (2021, August 8). Charlie Munger: Latticework of menยญtal modยญels (No. 139) [Audio podยญcast episยญode]. In Moonshots podยญcast: Learning out loud. Moonshots. https://โwwwโ.moonโshotsโ.io/โeโpโiโsโoโdโeโ-โ1โ3โ9โ-โcโhโaโrโlโiโeโ-โmโuโnโgโeโrโ-โlโaโtโtโiโcโeโwโoโrโkโ-โoโfโ-โmโeโnโtโaโlโ-โmโoโdโels |
14 | Epstein, D. (2019). Range: Why genยญerยญalยญists triยญumph in a speยญcialยญized world. Riverhead Books. |
15 | Silfwer, J. (2012, October 31). The Acceleration Theory: Use Momentum To Finish First. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โdocโtorโspinโ.net/โaโcโcโeโlโeโrโaโtโiโoโnโ-โtโhโeโoโry/ |
16 | Silfwer, J. (2018, December 27). The Techlash: Our Great Confusion. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โdocโtorโspinโ.net/โtโeโcโhโlโaโsh/ |
17 | Silfwer, J. (2020, April 24). Slow is Smooth, Smooth is Fast. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โdocโtorโspinโ.net/โsโlโoโwโ-โiโsโ-โsโmโoโoโth/ |
18 | Silfwer, J. (2021, January 27). The Easy Street PR Strategy: Keep It Simple To Win. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โdocโtorโspinโ.net/โeโaโsโyโ-โsโtโrโeโeโtโ-โpโrโ-โsโtโrโaโtโeโgy/ |
19 | Silfwer, J. (2019, March 10). Critical Mass: How Many Social Media Followers Do You Need? Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โdocโtorโspinโ.net/โcโrโiโtโiโcโaโlโ-โmโaโsโsโ-โfโoโlโlโoโwโeโrs/ |
20 | Letโs say the numยญber of new social media shares per cycle is a conยญstant mulยญtiยญpliยญer, m. If the cycle time is t and the total time under conยญsidยญerยญaยญtion is T, the numยญber of cycles in this time is T/โtโ. The total reach after time T can be approxยญimยญated by m(T/t), assumยญing one iniยญtial share. When t decreases, T/โtโ increases, meanยญing more cycles occur in the same total time, T. This leads to a highยญer power of m in the expresยญsion m(T/t), which means a more extensยญive reach. |
21 | Silfwer, J. (2017, February 6). Viral Loops (or How to Incentivise Social Media Sharing). Doctor Spin | the PR Blog. https://โdocโtorโspinโ.net/โvโiโrโaโlโ-โlโoโop/ |
22 | Silfwer, J. (2020, September 18). Communicative Leadership in Organisations. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โdocโtorโspinโ.net/โcโoโmโmโuโnโiโcโaโtโiโvโeโ-โlโeโaโdโeโrโsโhโip/ |
23 | Silfwer, J. (2020, September 18). The Checklist for Communicative Organisations. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โdocโtorโspinโ.net/โcโhโeโcโkโlโiโsโtโ-โfโoโrโ-โcโoโmโmโuโnโiโcโaโtโiโvโeโ-โlโeโaโdโeโrโsโhโip/ |
24 | Silfwer, J. (2019, October 17). Survivorship BiasโโโCorrelation Does Not Equal Causation. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โdocโtorโspinโ.net/โsโuโrโvโiโvโoโrโsโhโiโpโ-โbโiโas/ |