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Mental Capacity vs Mental Competence

Iโ€™m on a mission to think better.

Cover photo: @jerrysilfwer

Letโ€™s comยญpare menยญtal capaยญcity vs menยญtal comยญpetยญence.

Iโ€™m on a misยญsion to think betยญter.

Weโ€™re all born with cerยญtain limยญitยญaยญtions. However, we underยญesยญtimยญate how much betยญter thinkers we can become by takยญing a more straยญtegic approach to one of the most funยญdaยญmentยญal human activยญitยญiesโ€”thinkยญing.

Here we go:

Mental Capacity vs Mental Competence

As a PR proยญfesยญsionยญal, I often meet with experยญiยญenced, intelยญliยญgent, ambiยญtious, conยญscienยญtious, creยญatยญive, and highly motivยญated decision-makers. If you have the finยญanยญcial manยญdate to invest in pubยญlic relaยญtions counยญsel, youโ€™re likely to be a perยญson of substance.

Still, Iโ€™m amazed almost daily at how othยญerยญwise accomยญplished indiยญviduยญals fall prey to logicยญal falยญlaยญcies and cogยญnitยญive biases so freยญquently. At first, I thought that this meant that I was very clevยญerโ€‰โ€”โ€‰until I realยญised that I was just as stuยญpid as often as they were.

Whatโ€™s going on here?

To explore thinkยญing betยญter, I would like to make an essenยญtial distinction:

Intelligence. This measยญure is based on menยญtal capaยญcity (genetยญics, epiยญgenยญetยญics, and neuroplasticity).

Clear thinkยญing. This skill is based on menยญtal comยญpetยญence (knowยญledge, experยญiยญence, and practice).

Using this disยญtincยญtion, we might find that improvยญing menยญtal capaยญcity is chalยญlenยญging. Your genetยญics are what they areโ€‰โ€”โ€‰for betยญter or worse. Still, interยญestยญing sciยญentifยญic insights stemยญming from research on epiยญgenยญetยญics and neuroยญplasยญtiยญcity exist.

There are also difยญferยญent intelยญliยญgence types. While you might be weakยญer in some intelยญlecยญtuยญal capaยญcitยญies, you might be unknowยญingly strong in othยญers you havenโ€™t yet explored or developed.

As for menยญtal comยญpetยญence, there are countยญless difยญferยญent venยญues to investยญigยญate and learn. You can learn powerยญful menยญtal modยญels to think betยญter and faster. You can learn more about difยญferยญent types of knowยญledge and how knowยญledge is creยญated.

You can rid yourยญself of bad thinkยญing habits and learn to recogยญnise logicยญal falยญlaยญcies and cogยญnitยญive biases.

In short:
There are many ways to be smart.

Learn more: Mental Capacity vs Mental Competence

Howard Gardner: 10 Intelligence Types

Howard Gardnerโ€™s theยญory of mulยญtiple intelยญliยญgences expands the traยญdiยญtionยญal view of intelยญliยญgence beyยญond logicยญal and linยญguistยญic capยญabยญilยญitยญies. 1Theory of mulยญtiple intelยญliยญgences. (2023, November 28). In Wikipedia. https://โ€‹enโ€‹.wikiโ€‹peโ€‹diaโ€‹.org/โ€‹wโ€‹iโ€‹kโ€‹iโ€‹/โ€‹Tโ€‹hโ€‹eโ€‹oโ€‹rโ€‹yโ€‹_โ€‹oโ€‹fโ€‹_โ€‹mโ€‹uโ€‹lโ€‹tโ€‹iโ€‹pโ€‹lโ€‹eโ€‹_โ€‹iโ€‹nโ€‹tโ€‹eโ€‹lโ€‹lโ€‹iโ€‹gโ€‹eโ€‹nโ€‹ces

โ€œGardnerโ€™s theยญory of mulยญtiple intelยญliยญgences has revoยญluยญtionยญized eduยญcaยญtion, chalยญlenยญging the notion of a single, fixed intelยญliยญgence and proยญmotยญing a more diverse approach to teachยญing and learnยญing.โ€
Source: The First Sevenโ€ฆand the Eighth: A Conversation with Howard Gardner 2Checkley, K. (1997). The First Sevenโ€ฆand the Eighth: A Conversation with Howard Gardner. Educational Leadership, 55, 8โ€‰โ€“โ€‰13.

Hereโ€™s a descripยญtion of each type of intelยญliยญgence as outยญlined in his theory:

  • Linguistic intelยญliยญgence. This intelยญliยญgence involves effectยญively using words and lanยญguage. It includes skills in readยญing, writยญing, speakยญing, and comยญmuยญnicยญaยญtion. People with high linยญguistยญic intelยญliยญgence are typยญicยญally good at telling storยญies, memยญorยญizยญing words, and reading.
  • Logical-mathยญemยญatยญicยญal intelยญliยญgence. This form of intelยญliยญgence is about the capaยญcity to anaยญlyze probยญlems logicยญally, carry out mathยญemยญatยญicยญal operยญaยญtions, and investยญigยญate issues sciยญenยญtificยญally. It involves strong reasยญonยญing skills, patยญtern recogยญniยญtion, and abstract thinking.
  • Musical intelยญliยญgence. This intelยญliยญgence repยญresยญents skill in perยญformยญing, comยญposยญing, and appreยญciยญatยญing musicยญal patยญterns. It encomยญpasses recogยญnising and comยญposยญing musicยญal pitches, tones, and rhythms.
  • Spatial intelยญliยญgence. Spatial intelยญliยญgence involves the potenยญtial to recogยญnize and manipยญuยญlate the patยญterns of wide spaces (like navยญigยญatยญors and pilots) and more conยญfined areas (like chess playยญers and surยญgeons). It includes skills like visuยญalยญizยญing objects, creยญatยญing menยญtal images, and thinkยญing in three dimensions.
  • Bodily-kinยญesยญthetยญic intelยญliยญgence. This type refers to using oneโ€™s whole body or parts of the body (like the hands or the mouth). Itโ€™s the abilยญity to manipยญuยญlate objects and use variยญous physยญicยญal skills. This intelยญliยญgence also involves a sense of timยญing and the perยญfecยญtion of skills through hand-eye coรถrdination.
  • Interpersonal intelยญliยญgence. This is about underยญstandยญing and interยญactยญing effectยญively with othยญers. It involves effectยญive verbal and nonยญverbal comยญmuยญnicยญaยญtion, the abilยญity to note disยญtincยญtions among othยญers, sensยญitยญivยญity to the moods and temยญperaยญments of othยญers, and the abilยญity to enterยญtain mulยญtiple perยญspectยญives. 3See also: Silfwer, J. (2023, April 25). Theory of Mind: A Superpower for PR Professionals. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โ€‹docโ€‹torโ€‹spinโ€‹.net/โ€‹tโ€‹hโ€‹eโ€‹oโ€‹rโ€‹yโ€‹-โ€‹oโ€‹fโ€‹-โ€‹mโ€‹iโ€‹nโ€‹dโ€‹-โ€‹aโ€‹-โ€‹sโ€‹uโ€‹pโ€‹eโ€‹rโ€‹pโ€‹oโ€‹wโ€‹eโ€‹rโ€‹-โ€‹fโ€‹oโ€‹rโ€‹-โ€‹pโ€‹rโ€‹-โ€‹pโ€‹rโ€‹oโ€‹fโ€‹eโ€‹sโ€‹sโ€‹iโ€‹oโ€‹nโ€‹aโ€‹ls/
  • Intrapersonal intelยญliยญgence. Intrapersonal intelยญliยญgence is the capaยญcity to underยญstand oneยญself and to appreยญciยญate oneโ€™s feelยญings, fears, and motivยญaยญtions. This intelยญliยญgence involves havยญing a deep underยญstandยญing of oneยญself, what oneโ€™s strengths/โ€‹weaknesses are, what makes one unique, and being able to preยญdict oneโ€™s own reactions/โ€‹emotions.
  • Naturalist intelยญliยญgence. This intelยญliยญgence refers to identiยญfyยญing and clasยญsiยญfyยญing natยญurยญal patยญterns. It involves underยญstandยญing livยญing creatures and botยญany and the abilยญity to observe natยญurยญal phenomena.
  • Teaching intelยญliยญgence. This form of intelยญliยญgence is evidยญent when indiยญviduยญals, includยญing very young chilยญdren, sucยญcessยญfully teach othยญers. It involves breakยญing down comยญplex conยญcepts into simยญpler, teachยญable parts and underยญstandยญing how difยญferยญent people learn.
  • Existential intelยญliยญgence. This type refers to the abilยญity to use intuยญition, thought, and meta-cogยญniยญtion to ask (and conยญsider) deep quesยญtions about human existยญence, such as the meanยญing of life, why we die, and how we got here.

Each intelยญliยญgence type repยญresยญents difยญferยญent ways of proยญcessing informยญaยญtion and sugยญgests everyยญone has a unique blend of these bits of intelยญliยญgence. 4Gardner, H. (1983). Frames of Mind: The Theory of Multiple Intelligences. Basic Books.

Learn more: 10 Intelligence Types: Howard Gardnerโ€™s Theory

Mental Models: Think Better

Mental modยญels emphasยญise the importยญance of viewยญing probยญlems from mulยญtiple perยญspectยญives, recogยญnising perยญsonยญal limยญitยญaยญtions, and underยญstandยญing the often unforeยญseen interยญacยญtions between difยญferยญent factors. 

Warren Buffett

โ€œYou only have to do a few things right in your life so long as you donโ€™t do too many things wrong.โ€

The writยญings of Charlie Munger, Vice Chairman of Berkshire Hathaway and long-time colยญlabยญorยญatยญor of Warren Buffett and many othยญers, inspire sevยญerยญal of the below modยญels.5Itโ€™s worth notยญing that these modยญels are not exclusยญively Charlie Mungerโ€™s invenยญtions but tools he advocยญates for effectยญive thinkยญing and decision-makยญing.

List of Mental Models

Hereโ€™s a list of my favourยญite menยญtal models: 

The iron preยญscripยญtion (menยญtal modยญel). Senior advisor Charlie Munger argued: โ€œI have what I call an โ€˜iron preยญscripยญtionโ€™ that helps me keep sane when I natยญurยญally drift toward preยญferยญring one ideoยญlogy over anothยญer. I feel that Iโ€™m not entitled to have an opinยญion unless I can state the arguยญments against my posยญiยญtion betยญter than the people who are in opposยญiยญtion. I think that I am qualยญiยญfied to speak only when Iโ€™ve reached that stateโ€ (Knodell, 2016). 6Knodell, P. A. (2016). All I want to know is where Iโ€™m going to die so Iโ€™ll nevยญer go there: Buffett & Munger โ€“ A study in simยญpliยญcity and uncomยญmon, comยญmon sense. PAK Publishing.

The Red Queen effect (menยญtal modยญel). This metaยญphor oriยญginยญates from Lewis Carrollโ€™s Through the Looking-Glass. It describes a situยญation in which one must conยญtinuยญously adapt, evolve, and work to mainยญtain oneโ€™s posยญiยญtion. In the story, the Red Queen is a charยญacยญter who explains to Alice that in their world, runยญning as fast as one can is necesยญsary just to stay in the same place. The metaยญphor is often used in the conยญtext of busiยญnesses that need to innovยญate conยญstantly to stay comยญpetยญitยญive, highยญlightยญing the relentยญless presยญsure to adapt in dynamยญic envirยญonยญments where stagยญnaยญtion can mean fallยญing behind. 7Red Queen hypoยญthesยญis. (2023, November 27). In Wikipedia. https://โ€‹enโ€‹.wikiโ€‹peโ€‹diaโ€‹.org/โ€‹wโ€‹iโ€‹kโ€‹iโ€‹/โ€‹Rโ€‹eโ€‹dโ€‹_โ€‹Qโ€‹uโ€‹eโ€‹eโ€‹nโ€‹_โ€‹hโ€‹yโ€‹pโ€‹oโ€‹tโ€‹hโ€‹eโ€‹sis 8Carroll, L. (2006). Through the lookยญing-glass, and what Alice found there (R. D. Martin, Ed.). Penguin Classics. (Original work pubยญlished 1871.)

Ockamโ€™s razor (menยญtal modยญel). This prinยญciple sugยญgests that the simplest explanยญaยญtion is usuยญally corยญrect. The one with the fewยญest assumpยญtions should be selecยญted when presenยญted with comยญpetยญing hypoยญtheses. Itโ€™s a tool for cutยญting through comยญplexยญity and focusยญing on whatโ€™s most likely true. 9Ariew, R. (1976). Ockhamโ€™s Razor: A hisยญtorยญicยญal and philoยญsophยญicยญal anaยญlysยญis of simยญpliยญcity in sciยญence. Scientific American, 234(3), 88โ€‰โ€“โ€‰93.

Hanlonโ€™s razor (menยญtal modยญel). This thinkยญing aid advises against attribยญutยญing to malice what can be adequately explained by incomยญpetยญence or misยญtake. It reminds us to look for more straightยญforยญward explanยญaยญtions before jumpยญing to conยญcluยญsions about someoneโ€™s intenยญtions. 10Hanlon, R. J. (1980). Murphyโ€™s Law book two: More reasยญons why things go wrong!. Los Angeles: Price Stern Sloan.

Vaguely right vs preยญcisely wrong (menยญtal modยญel). This prinยญciple sugยญgests it is betยญter to be approxยญimยญately corยญrect than 100% incorยญrect. In many situยญations, seekยญing preยญciยญsion can lead to errors if the underยญlyยญing assumpยญtions or data are flawed. Sometimes, a rough estimยญate is more valuยญable than a preยญcise but potenยญtially misยญleadยญing figยญure. 11Keynes, J. M. (1936). The genยญerยญal theยญory of employยญment, interest, and money. London: Macmillan.

Fat pitch (menยญtal modยญel). Borrowed from baseยญball, this concept refers to waitยญing patiently for the perยญfect opporยญtunยญityโ€‰โ€”โ€‰a situยญation where the chances of sucยญcess are excepยญtionยญally high. It sugยญgests the importยญance of patience and strikยญing when the time is right. 12Kaufman, P. A. (Ed.). (2005). Poor Charlieโ€™s almanยญack: The wit and wisยญdom of Charles T. Munger. Virginia Beach, VA: Donning Company Publishers.

Chestertonโ€™s fence (menยญtal modยญel). G.K. Chesterton: โ€In the matยญter of reformยญing things, as disยญtinct from deformยญing them, there is one plain and simple prinยญciple; a prinยญciple which will probยญably be called a paraยญdox. There exists in such a case a cerยญtain instiยญtuยญtion or law; let us say, for the sake of simยญpliยญcity, a fence or gate erecยญted across a road. The more modยญern type of reformer goes gaily up to it and says, โ€˜I donโ€™t see the use of this; let us clear it away.โ€™ To which the more intelยญliยญgent type of reformer will do well to answer: โ€˜If you donโ€™t see the use of it, I cerยญtainly wonโ€™t let you clear it away. Go away and think. Then, when you can come back and tell me that you do see the use of it, I may allow you to desยญtroy itโ€ (Chesterton, 1929). 13Chesterton, G. K. (1929). โ€œThe Drift from Domesticityโ€. Archived 6 November 2018 at the Wayback Machine In: The Thing. London: Sheed & Ward, p. 35

First-conยญcluยญsion bias (menยญtal modยญel). This is the tendยญency to stick with the first conยญcluยญsion without conยญsidยญerยญing alternยญatยญive posยญsibยญilยญitยญies or addiยญtionยญal informยญaยญtion. Itโ€™s a cogยญnitยญive bias that can impede critยญicยญal thinkยญing and thorยญough analysis.

First prinยญciples thinkยญing (menยญtal modยญel). This approach involves breakยญing down comยญplex probยญlems into their most basic eleยญments and then reasยญsembling them from the ground up. Itโ€™s about getยญting to the funยญdaยญmentยญal truths of a situยญation and buildยญing your underยญstandยญing from there rather than relyยญing on assumpยญtions or conยญvenยญtionยญal wisdom.

The map is not the terยญritยญory (menยญtal modยญel). This modยญel reminds us that repยญresยญentยญaยญtions of realยญity are not realยญity itself. Maps, modยญels, and descripยญtions are simยญpliยญficยญaยญtions and canยญnot capยญture every aspect of the actuยญal terยญritยญory or situยญation. Itโ€™s a cauยญtion against over-relyยญing on modยญels and theยญorยญies without conยญsidยญerยญing the nuances of real-world situยญations. 14Silfwer, J. (2022, November 3). Walter Lippmann: Public Opinion and Perception Management. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โ€‹docโ€‹torโ€‹spinโ€‹.net/โ€‹wโ€‹aโ€‹lโ€‹tโ€‹eโ€‹rโ€‹-โ€‹lโ€‹iโ€‹pโ€‹pโ€‹mโ€‹aโ€‹nn/

Bell curve (menยญtal modยญel). This curve is a graphยญicยญal depicยญtion of a norยญmal disยญtriยญbuยญtion, showยญing how many occurยญrences fall near the mean value and fewยญer occur as you move away from the mean. In decision-makยญing, itโ€™s used to underยญstand and antiยญcipยญate variยญabยญilยญity and to recogยญnise that while extreme cases exist, most outยญcomes will cluster around the average.

Compounding (menยญtal modยญel). Often used in the conยญtext of finยญance, comยญpoundยญing refers to the proยญcess where the value of an investยญment increases because the earnยญings on an investยญment, both capยญitยญal gains and interest, earn interest as time passes. This prinยญciple can be applied more broadly to underยญstand how small, conยญsistยญent efforts can yield sigยญniยญficยญant long-term results.

Survival of the fitยญtest (menยญtal modยญel). Borrowed from evolยญuยญtionยญary bioยญlogy, this menยญtal modยญel sugยญgests that only those best adapยญted to their envirยญonยญment surยญvive and thrive. In a busiยญness conยญtext, it can refer to comยญpanยญies that adapt to chanยญging marยญket conยญdiยญtions and are more likely to succeed.

Mr. Market (menยญtal modยญel). A metaยญphor creยญated by Benjamin Graham repยญresยญents the stock marยญketโ€™s mood swings from optimยญism to pessยญimยญism. Itโ€™s used to illusยญtrate emoยญtionยญal reacยญtions in the marยญket and the importยญance of mainยญtainยญing objectivยญity. 15Graham, B. (2006). The intelยญliยญgent investor: The definยญitยญive book on value investยญing (Rev. ed., updated with new comยญmentยญary by J. Zweig). Harper Business. (Original work pubยญlished 1949.)

Second-order thinkยญing (menยญtal modยญel). This kind of thinkยญing goes beyยญond the immeยญdiยญate effects of an action to conยญsider the subยญsequent effects. Itโ€™s about thinkยญing ahead and underยญstandยญing the longer-term conยญsequences of decisions beyยญond just the immeยญdiยญate results.

Law of diminยญishยญing returns (menยญtal modยญel). This ecoยญnomยญic prinยญciple states that as investยญment in a parยญticยญuยญlar area increases, the rate of profit from that investยญment, after a cerยญtain point, canยญnot increase proยญporยญtionยญally and may even decrease. Itโ€™s essenยญtial to underยญstand when addiยญtionยญal investยญment yields proยญgressยญively smalยญler returns. 16Diminishing returns. (2024, November 15). Wikipedia. https://โ€‹enโ€‹.wikiโ€‹peโ€‹diaโ€‹.org/โ€‹wโ€‹iโ€‹kโ€‹iโ€‹/โ€‹Dโ€‹iโ€‹mโ€‹iโ€‹nโ€‹iโ€‹sโ€‹hโ€‹iโ€‹nโ€‹gโ€‹_โ€‹rโ€‹eโ€‹tโ€‹uโ€‹rns

Opportunity cost (menยญtal modยญel). This concept refers to the potenยญtial beneยญfits one misses out on when choosยญing one alternยญatยญive over anothยญer. Itโ€™s the cost of the folยญlowยญing best option foreยญgone. Understanding opporยญtunยญity costs helps make informed decisions by conยญsidยญerยญing what to give up when choosing.

Swiss Army knife approach (menยญtal modยญel). This concept emphasยญises the importยญance of havยญing diverse tools (or skills). Being verยญsatยญile and adaptยญable in variยญous situยญations is valuยญable, like a Swiss Army knife. This modยญel is beneยญfiยญcial for uncerยญtain and volatยญile situยญations. Thereโ€™s also a case to be made for genยญerยญalยญists in a speยญcialยญised world. 17Parsons, M., & Pearson-Freeland, M. (Hosts). (2021, August 8). Charlie Munger: Latticework of menยญtal modยญels (No. 139) [Audio podยญcast episยญode]. In Moonshots podยญcast: Learning out โ€ฆ Continue readยญing 18Epstein, D. (2019). Range: Why genยญerยญalยญists triยญumph in a speยญcialยญized world. Riverhead Books.

Acceleration theยญory (menยญtal modยญel). This concept indicยญates that the winยญner mustnโ€™t lead the race from start to finยญish. Mathematically, delayยญing maxยญimยญum โ€œspeedโ€ by proยญlongยญing the slower accelยญerยญaยญtion phase will get you across the finยญish line faster. 19Silfwer, J. (2012, October 31). The Acceleration Theory: Use Momentum To Finish First. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โ€‹docโ€‹torโ€‹spinโ€‹.net/โ€‹aโ€‹cโ€‹cโ€‹eโ€‹lโ€‹eโ€‹rโ€‹aโ€‹tโ€‹iโ€‹oโ€‹nโ€‹-โ€‹tโ€‹hโ€‹eโ€‹oโ€‹ry/

Manage expectยญaยญtions (menยญtal modยญel). This concept involves setยญting realยญistยญic expectยญaยญtions for yourยญself and othยญers. Itโ€™s about alignยญing hopes and preยญdicยญtions with what is achievยญable and probยญable, thus reduยญcing disยญapยญpointยญment and increasยญing satยญisยญfacยญtion. Effective expectยญaยญtion manยญageยญment can lead to betยญter perยญsonยญal and proยญfesยญsionยญal relaยญtionยญships and outcomes.

Techlash (menยญtal modยญel). This menยญtal modยญel acknowยญledges that while techยญnoยญlogy can provide soluยญtions, it almost always creยญates foreยญseen and unforeยญseen probยญlems. Itโ€™s a remindยญer to approach techยญnoยญloยญgicยญal innovยญaยญtions cauยญtiously, conยญsidยญerยญing potenยญtial negยญatยญive impacts alongยญside the beneยญfits. 20Silfwer, J. (2018, December 27). The Techlash: Our Great Confusion. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โ€‹docโ€‹torโ€‹spinโ€‹.net/โ€‹tโ€‹eโ€‹cโ€‹hโ€‹lโ€‹aโ€‹sh/

Worldโ€™s most intelยญliยญgent quesยญtion (menยญtal modยญel). This menยญtal modยญel refers to repeatedly askยญing โ€œWhy?โ€ to delve deepยญer into a probยญlem and underยญstand its root causes. By conยญtinuยญally askยญing why someยญthing hapยญpens, one can uncovยญer layยญers of underยญstandยญing that might remain hidden.

Regression to the mean (menยญtal modยญel). This statยญistยญicยญal prinยญciple states that extreme events are likely to be folยญlowed by more modยญerยญate ones. Over time, valยญues tend to revert to the averยญage, a concept relยญevยญant in many areas, from sports perยญformยญance to busiยญness metrics.

False dichoยญtomy (menยญtal modยญel). This logicยญal falยญlacy occurs when a situยญation is presenยญted as havยญing only two exclusยญive and mutuยญally exhaustยญive options when othยญer posยญsibยญilยญitยญies exist. It overยญsimยญpliยญfies comยญplex issues into an โ€œeither/โ€‹orโ€ choice. For instance, sayยญing, โ€œYou are either with us or against us,โ€ ignores the posยญsibยญilยญity of neutยญral or alternยญatยญive positions.

Inversion (menยญtal modยญel). Inversion involves lookยญing at probยญlems backยญwards or from the end goal. Instead of thinkยญing about how to achieve someยญthing, you conยญsider what would preยญvent it from hapยญpenยญing. This can reveal hidยญden obstacles and alternยญatยญive solutions.

Psychology of human misยญjudgยญment (menยญtal modยญel). This menยญtal modยญel refers to underยญstandยญing the typยญicยญal biases and errors in human thinkยญing. One can make more rationยญal and objectยญive decisions by knowยญing how cogยญnitยญive biases, like conยญfirmยญaยญtion bias or the anchorยญing effect, can lead to flawed reasoning.

Slow is smooth, smooth is fast (menยญtal modยญel).โ€‰โ€”โ€‰Often used in milยญitยญary and tacยญticยญal trainยญing, this phrase encapยญsuยญlates the idea that someยญtimes, slowยญing down can lead to faster overยญall proยญgress. The prinยญciple is that takยญing delibยญerยญate, conยญsidered actions reduces misยญtakes and inefยญfiยญcienยญcies, which can lead to faster outยญcomes in the long run. In pracยญtice, it means planยญning, trainยญing, and executยญing with care, leadยญing to smoothยญer, more effiยญcient operยญaยญtions that achieve objectยญives faster than rushed, less thoughtยญful efforts. 21Silfwer, J. (2020, April 24). Slow is Smooth, Smooth is Fast. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โ€‹docโ€‹torโ€‹spinโ€‹.net/โ€‹sโ€‹lโ€‹oโ€‹wโ€‹-โ€‹iโ€‹sโ€‹-โ€‹sโ€‹mโ€‹oโ€‹oโ€‹th/

Because you are worth it (menยญtal modยญel). This menยญtal modยญel focuses on self-worth and investยญing in oneยญself. It sugยญgests recogยญnising and affirmยญing oneโ€™s value is cruยญcial for perยญsonยญal growth, hapยญpiยญness, and sucยญcess. This can involve self-care, eduยญcaยญtion, or simply makยญing choices that reflect oneโ€™s value and potential.

Physics envy (menยญtal modยญel). This term describes the desire to apply the preยญciยญsion and cerยญtainty of physยญics to fields where such exactitude is impossible, like ecoยญnomยญics or social sciยญences. Itโ€™s a cauยญtion against overยญreยญliยญance on quantยญitยญatยญive methยญods in areas where qualยญitยญatยญive aspects play a sigยญniยญficยญant role.

Easy street strategy (menยญtal modยญel). This prinยญciple sugยญgests that simยญpler soluยญtions are often betยญter and more effectยญive than comยญplex ones. In decision-makยญing and probยญlem-solvยญing, seekยญing straightยญforยญward, clear-cut soluยญtions can often lead to betยญter outยญcomes than purยญsuยญing overly comยญplicยญated strategies. 22Silfwer, J. (2021, January 27). The Easy Street PR Strategy: Keep It Simple To Win. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โ€‹docโ€‹torโ€‹spinโ€‹.net/โ€‹eโ€‹aโ€‹sโ€‹yโ€‹-โ€‹sโ€‹tโ€‹rโ€‹eโ€‹eโ€‹tโ€‹-โ€‹pโ€‹rโ€‹-โ€‹sโ€‹tโ€‹rโ€‹aโ€‹tโ€‹eโ€‹gy/

Scale is key (menยญtal modยญel). This concept highยญlights how the impact of decisions or actions can vary draยญmatยญicยญally dependยญing on their scale. What works well on a small scale might not be pracยญticยญal or feasยญible on a larยญger scale, and vice versa.

Circle of comยญpetยญence (menยญtal modยญel). This concept involves recogยญnising and underยญstandยญing oneโ€™s areas of expertยญise and limยญitยญaยญtions. The idea is to focus on areas where you have the most knowยญledge and experยญiยญence rather than venยญturยญing into fields where you lack expertยญise, thereby increasยญing the likeยญliยญhood of success.

Fail fast, fail often (menยญtal modยญel). By failยญing fast, you quickly learn what doesยญnโ€™t work, which helps in refinยญing your approach or pivotยญing to someยญthing more promยญising. Failing often is seen not as a series of setยญbacks but as a necesยญsary part of the proยญcess towards sucยญcess. This mindยญset encourยญages experยญiยญmentยญaยญtion, risk-takยญing, and learnยญing from misยญtakes, emphasยญising agilยญity and adaptability.

Correlation does not equal causยญaยญtion (menยญtal modยญel). This prinยญciple is a critยญicยญal remindยญer in data anaยญlysยญis and sciยญentifยญic research. Just because two variยญables show a corยญrelยญaยญtion (they seem to move togethยญer or oppose each othยญer) does not mean one causes the othยญer. Other variยญables could be at play, or it might be a coincidence.

Critical mass (menยญtal modยญel). This menยญtal modยญel emphasยญises the importยญance of reachยญing a cerยญtain threshold to trigยญger a sigยญniยญficยญant change, whethยญer user adopยญtion, marยญket penยญetยญraยญtion, or social moveยญment growth. This modยญel guides straยญtegic decisions, such as resource allocยญaยญtion, marยญketยญing strategies, and timยญing of iniยญtiยญatยญives, to effectยญively reach and surยญpass this cruยญcial point. 23Silfwer, J. (2019, March 10). Critical Mass: How Many Social Media Followers Do You Need? Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โ€‹docโ€‹torโ€‹spinโ€‹.net/โ€‹cโ€‹rโ€‹iโ€‹tโ€‹iโ€‹cโ€‹aโ€‹lโ€‹-โ€‹mโ€‹aโ€‹sโ€‹sโ€‹-โ€‹fโ€‹oโ€‹lโ€‹lโ€‹oโ€‹wโ€‹eโ€‹rs/

Sorites paraยญdox (menยญtal modยญel). Also known as the paraยญdox of the heap, this paraยญdox arises from vague preยญdicยญates. It involves a sequence of small changes that donโ€™t seem to make a difยญferยญence indiยญviduยญally but, when accuยญmuยญlated, lead to a sigยญniยญficยญant change where the exact point of change is indisยญcernยญible. For example, if you keep removยญing grains of sand from a heap, when does it stop being a heap? Each grain doesยญnโ€™t seem to make a difยญferยญence, but evenยญtuยญally, youโ€™re left with no heap.

The power of cycle times (menยญtal modยญel). Mathematically, reduยญcing cycle times in a proยญcess that grows expoยญnenยญtially (like conยญtent sharยญing on social netยญworks) drasticยญally increases the growth rate, leadยญing to faster and broadยญer disยญsemยญinยญaยญtion of the conยญtent, thereby drivยญing virยญalยญity. The comยญbinยญaยญtion of expoยญnenยญtial growth, netยญwork effects, and feedยญback loops makes cycle time a critยญicยญal factor. 24Letโ€™s say the numยญber of new social media shares per cycle is a conยญstant mulยญtiยญpliยญer, m. If the cycle time is t and the total time under conยญsidยญerยญaยญtion is T, the numยญber of cycles in this time is T/โ€‹tโ€‹. โ€ฆ Continue readยญing 25Silfwer, J. (2017, February 6). Viral Loops (or How to Incentivise Social Media Sharing). Doctor Spin | the PR Blog. https://โ€‹docโ€‹torโ€‹spinโ€‹.net/โ€‹vโ€‹iโ€‹rโ€‹aโ€‹lโ€‹-โ€‹lโ€‹oโ€‹op/

Non-linยญearยญity (menยญtal modยญel). This menยญtal modยญel recogยญnises that outยญcomes in many situยญations are not dirยญectly proยญporยญtionยญal to the inputs or efforts. It sugยญgests that effects can be disยญproยญporยญtionยญate to their causes, either escalยญatยญing rapยญidly with minor changes or remainยญing stagยญnant desยญpite sigยญniยญficยญant efforts. Understanding non-linยญearยญity helps in recogยญnising and antiยญcipยญatยญing comยญplex patยญterns in variยญous phenomena.

Checklists (menยญtal modยญel). This menยญtal modยญel stresses the importยญance of sysยญtemยญatยญic approaches to preยญvent misยญtakes and overยญsights. Using checkยญlists in comยญplex or repetยญitยญive tasks ensures that all necesยญsary steps are folยญlowed and nothยญing is overยญlooked, thereby increasยญing effiยญciency and accurยญacy. 26Silfwer, J. (2020, September 18). Communicative Leadership in Organisations. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โ€‹docโ€‹torโ€‹spinโ€‹.net/โ€‹cโ€‹oโ€‹mโ€‹mโ€‹uโ€‹nโ€‹iโ€‹cโ€‹aโ€‹tโ€‹iโ€‹vโ€‹eโ€‹-โ€‹lโ€‹eโ€‹aโ€‹dโ€‹eโ€‹rโ€‹sโ€‹hโ€‹ip/

Lollapalooza (menยญtal modยญel). Coined by Munger, this term refers to situยญations where mulยญtiple factors, tendยญenยญcies, or biases interยญact so that the comยญbined effect is much greatยญer than the sum of indiยญviduยญal effects. Itโ€™s a remindยญer of how variยญous eleยญments can conยญverge to creยญate sigยญniยญficยญant impacts, often unexยญpecยญted or unprecedented.

Limits (menยญtal modยญel). This menยญtal modยญel acknowยญledges that everything has boundยญarยญies or limยญits, beyยญond which there can be negยญatยญive conยญsequences. Recognising and respectยญing perยญsonยญal, proยญfesยญsionยญal, and physยญicยญal limยญits is essenยญtial for susยญtainยญable growth and sucยญcess. In the words of โ€œDirty Harryโ€ Callahan, โ€œA manโ€™s got to know his limitations.โ€

The 7Ws (menยญtal modยญel). This menยญtal modยญel refers to the pracยญtice of askยญing โ€œWho, What, When, Where, Whyโ€ (and someยญtimes โ€œHowโ€) to underยญstand a situยญation or probยญlem fully. By sysยญtemยญatยญicยญally addressยญing these quesยญtions, one can comยญpreยญhensยญively underยญstand an issueโ€™s conยญtext, causes, and potenยญtial soluยญtions, leadยญing to more informed decision-makยญing. 27Silfwer, J. (2020, September 18). The Checklist for Communicative Organisations. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โ€‹docโ€‹torโ€‹spinโ€‹.net/โ€‹cโ€‹hโ€‹eโ€‹cโ€‹kโ€‹lโ€‹iโ€‹sโ€‹tโ€‹-โ€‹fโ€‹oโ€‹rโ€‹-โ€‹cโ€‹oโ€‹mโ€‹mโ€‹uโ€‹nโ€‹iโ€‹cโ€‹aโ€‹tโ€‹iโ€‹vโ€‹eโ€‹-โ€‹lโ€‹eโ€‹aโ€‹dโ€‹eโ€‹rโ€‹sโ€‹hโ€‹ip/

Chauffeur knowยญledge (menยญtal modยญel). This menยญtal modยญel disยญtinยญguishes between havยญing a surยญface-level underยญstandยญing (like a chaufยญfeur who knows the route) and deep, genuยญine knowยญledge (like an expert who underยญstands the intricยญaยญcies of a subยญject). It warns against the illuยญsion of expertยญise based on superยญfiยญcial knowยญledge and emphasยญises the importยญance of accurยญate, deep understanding.

Make friends with eminยญent dead (menยญtal modยญel). This menยญtal modยญel advocยญates learnยญing from the past, parยญticยญuยญlarly from sigยญniยญficยญant hisยญtorยญicยญal figยญures and their writยญings. Studying the experยญiยญences and thoughts of those who have excelled in their fields can yield valuยญable insights and wisdom.

Seizing the middle (menยญtal modยญel). This strategy involves findยญing and mainยญtainยญing a balยญanced, modยญerยญate posยญiยญtion, espeยญcially in conยญflict or negoยญtiยญation. Itโ€™s about avoidยญing extremes and findยญing a susยญtainยญable, middle-ground soluยญtion. Also, centre posยญiยญtions often offer the broadยญest range of options.

Asymmetric warยญfare (menยญtal modยญel). This refers to conยญflict between parties of unequal strength, where the weakยญer party uses unconยญvenยญtionยญal tacยญtics to exploit the vulยญnerยญabยญilยญitยญies of the stronger opponยญent. Itโ€™s often disยญcussed in milยญitยญary and busiยญness contexts.

Boredom synยญdrome (menยญtal modยญel). This term refers to the human tendยญency to seek stimยญuยญlaยญtion or change when things become routine or monoยญtonยญous, which can lead to unneยญcesยญsary changes or risks. Sometimes, takยญing no action is betยญter than takยญing action, but remainยญing idle can be difficult.

Survivorship bias (menยญtal modยญel). This cogยญnitยญive bias involves focusยญing on people or things that have โ€œsurยญvivedโ€ some proยญcess and inadยญvertยญently overยญlookยญing those that did not due to their lack of visยญibยญilยญity. This can lead to false conยญcluยญsions because it ignores the experยญiยญences of those who did not make it through the proยญcess. 28Silfwer, J. (2019, October 17). Survivorship Bias. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โ€‹docโ€‹torโ€‹spinโ€‹.net/โ€‹sโ€‹uโ€‹rโ€‹vโ€‹iโ€‹vโ€‹oโ€‹rโ€‹sโ€‹hโ€‹iโ€‹pโ€‹-โ€‹bโ€‹iโ€‹as/

Each menยญtal modยญel offers a lens for viewยญing probยญlems, makยญing decisions, and strategising, reflectยญing the comยญplexยญity and diversity of thought required in variยญous fields and situations.

Numerous othยญer menยญtal modยญels are also used in variยญous fields, such as ecoยญnomยญics, psyยญchoยญlogy, and sysยญtems thinking.

Learn more: Mental Models: How To Think Better

How To Create Knowledge

This list of how to creยญate knowยญledge presents aspects of reasยญonยญing, methยญodยญoยญloยญgicยญal approaches, data anaยญlysยญis perยญspectยญives, and philoยญsophยญicยญal frameยญworks. It explains how knowยญledge can be approached, anaยญlysed, and interpreted.

Albert Einstein

โ€œIf you canยญโ€™t explain it simply, you donโ€™t underยญstand it well enough.โ€

Types of Reasoning and Logical Processes

  • Inductive reasยญonยญing. Generalising from speยญcifยญic obserยญvaยญtions to broadยญer generalizations.
  • Deductive reasยญonยญing. Starting with a genยญerยญal stateยญment or hypoยญthesยญis and reachยญing a speยญcifยญic conclusion.
  • Abductive reasยญonยญing. Starting with an obserยญvaยญtion and seekยญing the simplest and most likely explanation.
  • Probabilistic reasยญonยญing. Making preยญdicยญtions based on probยญabยญilยญitยญies in uncerยญtain situations.
How To Create Knowledge - Types of Reasoning - Doctor Spin
How to creยญate knowledge.

Methodological Approaches

  • Empirical vs logicยญal. Empiricalโ€”Deriving knowยญledge from obserยญvaยญtion or experยญiยญmentยญaยญtion. Logicalโ€”Using strucยญtured reasยญonยญing and valยญid arguยญments indeยญpendยญent of empirยญicยญal evidence.
  • Heuristic vs algorithmic. Heuristicโ€”Applying pracยญticยญal methยญods or โ€œrules of thumbโ€ for immeยญdiยญate soluยญtions. Algorithmicโ€”Using sysยญtemยญatยญic proยญcedยญures for definยญitยญive, often optimยญal solutions.

Data and Analysis Perspectives

  • Analytical vs synยญthetยญic. Analyticalโ€”Breaking down comยญplex probยญlems into smalยญler comยญponยญents. Syntheticโ€”Combining eleยญments to form a coherยญent whole.
  • Qualitative vs quantยญitยญatยญive. Qualitativeโ€”Focusing on non-statยญistยญicยญal aspects and qualยญitยญies. Quantitativeโ€”Involving numerยญicยญal data colยญlecยญtion and analysis.

Philosophical and Theoretical Frameworks

  • Rationalism vs empirยญiยญcism. Rationalismโ€”Emphasising reasยญon as the primary source of knowยญledge. Empiricismโ€”Stressing the importยญance of sensยญory experยญiยญence and evidence.
  • Positivism. Asserting that sciยญentifยญic knowยญledge is the true form of knowledge.
  • Hermeneutics. Focusing on the interยญpretยญaยญtion of texts, lanยญguage, and symbols.
  • Phenomenology. Concentrating on the study of conยญsciousยญness and dirยญect experience.
  • Pragmatism. Considering pracยญticยญal conยญsequences as vital in meanยญing and truth.
  • Constructivism. Suggesting that knowยญledge is conยญstrucยญted from experยญiยญences and ideas.
  • Deconstruction. Analysing philoยญsophยญicยญal and litยญerยญary lanยญguage to uncovยญer impliยญcit assumptions.

Learn more: How To Create Knowledge

Types of Bad Thinking Habits

Underpinning most of our thinkยญing misยญtakes, some psyยญchoยญloยญgicยญally induced thinkยญing habits seem to affect our abilยญity to think clearly. Understanding (and avoidยญing) these behaยญviยญourยญal patยญterns should allow for clear thinking.

  • Biased thinkยญing involves proยญcessing informยญaยญtion that aligns with preยญconยญceived notions or prefยญerยญences, often disยญregยญardยญing conยญtraยญdictยญory evidยญence. It can maniยญfest as conยญfirmยญaยญtion bias, favourยญing informยญaยญtion that conยญfirms existยญing beliefs.
  • Fallacious thinkยญing encomยญpasses logicยญally flawed reasยญonยญing. Fallacies are comยญmon errors in reasยญonยญing that underยญmine the logic of an argument.
  • Unfocused thinkยญing refers to a lack of conยญcenยญtraยญtion or dirยญecยญtion in thought proยญcesses. It can lead to difยญfiยญculties in probยญlem-solvยญing and decision-makยญing, as thoughts may wander without reachยญing a conยญcluยญsion or logicยญal endpoint.
  • Catastrophic thinkยญing is a cogยญnitยญive disยญtorยญtion in which one assumes the worst will hapยญpen. It often involves magยญniยญfyยญing the potenยญtial conยญsequences of an event, leadยญing to excessยญive worry or anxiety.
  • Wishful thinkยญing involves makยญing decisions or formยญing beliefs based on what is pleasยญing to imaยญgine rather than on evidยญence, rationยญalยญity, or realยญity. It often involves an optimยญism bias, where one overยญesยญtimยญates favourยญable outcomes.
  • Unsubstantiated thinkยญing involves formยญing opinยญions or beliefs without supยญportยญing evidยญence or rationale. It can resยญult from a lack of critยญicยญal thinkยญing, where asserยญtions are accepยญted without quesยญtionยญing the validยญity of the evidence.
  • Unfinalised thinkยญing isnโ€™t widely recogยญnized in cogยญnitยญive psyยญchoยญlogy, but it can be interยญpreted as thinkยญing proยญcesses that are not fully developed. It might involve jumpยญing to conยญcluยญsions without conยญsidยญerยญing all aspects or perยญspectยญives of an issue.
  • Heuristic thinkยญing uses menยญtal shortยญcuts or rules of thumb to make quick, effiยญcient judgยญments. While often useยญful, these shortยญcuts can lead to biases and errors in judgยญment. (Examples: overgenยญerยญalยญizยญaยญtion, overยญsimยญpliยญficยญaยญtion, over-steยญreoยญtypยญing, over-polarยญisaยญtion, etc.)
  • Groupthink occurs when a groupโ€™s desire for harยญmony or conยญformยญity resยญults in irraยญtionยญal or dysยญfuncยญtionยญal decision-makยญing. Individual group memยญbers supยญpress disยญsentยญing opinยญions, decreasยญing critยญicยญal evalยญuยญation of alternatives.

Understanding these difยญferยญent types of thinkยญing can help identiยญfy and address cogยญnitยญive falยญlaยญcies and biases in decision-makยญing and probยญlem-solvยญing processes.

Learn more: Types of Bad Thinking Habits
Learn more: Logical Fallacies and Cognitive Biases

List of Logical Fallacies and Biases

We easยญily fall prey to the tricks our psyยญchoยญlogy plays on us. These โ€œthinkยญing errorsโ€ exist because theyโ€™ve often aided our surยญvivยญal. However, knowยญing and underยญstandยญing variยญous types of comยญmon falยญlaยญcies and biases is helpยญful in everyยญday life.

Here are a few examples of logicยญal falยญlaยญcies and biases that Iโ€™ve come across while studyยญing pubยญlic relaยญtions and linguistics:

  • Fallacy of Composition
  • Fallacy of Division
  • The Gamblerโ€™s Fallacy
  • Tu Quoque (Who Are You To Talk?)
  • Strawman
  • Ad Hominem
  • Genetic Fallacy (Fallacy of Origin or Fallacy of Virtue)
  • Fallacious Appeal to Authority
  • Red Herring
  • Appeal to Emotion
  • Appeal to Popularity (The Bandwagon Effect)
  • Appeal to Tradition
  • Appeal to Nature
  • Appeal to Ignorance
  • Begging the Question
  • Equivocation
  • False Dichotomy (Black or White)
  • Middle Ground Fallacy
  • Decision Point Fallacy (Sorites Paradox)
  • Slippery Slope Fallacy
  • Hasty Generalisations (Anecdotal Evidence)
  • Faulty Analogy
  • Burden of Proof
  • Affirming the Consequent
  • Denying the Antecedent (Fallacy of the Inverse)
  • Moving the Goalposts
  • No True Scotsman
  • Personal Incredulity
  • False Causality
  • Texas Sharpshooter
  • Loaded Question
  • Chestertonโ€™s Fence
  • Survivorship Bias
  • Dunning-Kruger Effect
  • Confirmation Bias
  • Heuristic Anchoring
  • Curse of Knowledge
  • Optimism/โ€‹Pessimism Bias
  • Sunk Cost Fallacy
  • Negativity Bias
  • Declinism
  • Backfire Effect (Conversion Theory)
  • Fundamental Attribution Error
  • In-Group Bias
  • Forer Effect (Barnum Effect)
  • Cognitive Dissonance
  • Hostile Media Effect
  • Cherry-Picking (The Fallacy of Incomplete Evidence)
  • Spiral of Silence
  • Yes Ladder
  • Bystander Effect
  • Reciprocation Effect
  • Commitment and Consistency
  • Fallacy of Social Proof
  • Liking and Likeness
  • Appeal to Authority
  • Principle of Scarcity (FOMO)
  • Loss Aversion

Learn more: 58 Logical Fallacies and Biases


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1 Theory of mulยญtiple intelยญliยญgences. (2023, November 28). In Wikipedia. https://โ€‹enโ€‹.wikiโ€‹peโ€‹diaโ€‹.org/โ€‹wโ€‹iโ€‹kโ€‹iโ€‹/โ€‹Tโ€‹hโ€‹eโ€‹oโ€‹rโ€‹yโ€‹_โ€‹oโ€‹fโ€‹_โ€‹mโ€‹uโ€‹lโ€‹tโ€‹iโ€‹pโ€‹lโ€‹eโ€‹_โ€‹iโ€‹nโ€‹tโ€‹eโ€‹lโ€‹lโ€‹iโ€‹gโ€‹eโ€‹nโ€‹ces
2 Checkley, K. (1997). The First Sevenโ€ฆand the Eighth: A Conversation with Howard Gardner. Educational Leadership, 55, 8โ€‰โ€“โ€‰13.
3 See also: Silfwer, J. (2023, April 25). Theory of Mind: A Superpower for PR Professionals. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โ€‹docโ€‹torโ€‹spinโ€‹.net/โ€‹tโ€‹hโ€‹eโ€‹oโ€‹rโ€‹yโ€‹-โ€‹oโ€‹fโ€‹-โ€‹mโ€‹iโ€‹nโ€‹dโ€‹-โ€‹aโ€‹-โ€‹sโ€‹uโ€‹pโ€‹eโ€‹rโ€‹pโ€‹oโ€‹wโ€‹eโ€‹rโ€‹-โ€‹fโ€‹oโ€‹rโ€‹-โ€‹pโ€‹rโ€‹-โ€‹pโ€‹rโ€‹oโ€‹fโ€‹eโ€‹sโ€‹sโ€‹iโ€‹oโ€‹nโ€‹aโ€‹ls/
4 Gardner, H. (1983). Frames of Mind: The Theory of Multiple Intelligences. Basic Books.
5 Itโ€™s worth notยญing that these modยญels are not exclusยญively Charlie Mungerโ€™s invenยญtions but tools he advocยญates for effectยญive thinkยญing and decision-making.
6 Knodell, P. A. (2016). All I want to know is where Iโ€™m going to die so Iโ€™ll nevยญer go there: Buffett & Munger โ€“ A study in simยญpliยญcity and uncomยญmon, comยญmon sense. PAK Publishing.
7 Red Queen hypoยญthesยญis. (2023, November 27). In Wikipedia. https://โ€‹enโ€‹.wikiโ€‹peโ€‹diaโ€‹.org/โ€‹wโ€‹iโ€‹kโ€‹iโ€‹/โ€‹Rโ€‹eโ€‹dโ€‹_โ€‹Qโ€‹uโ€‹eโ€‹eโ€‹nโ€‹_โ€‹hโ€‹yโ€‹pโ€‹oโ€‹tโ€‹hโ€‹eโ€‹sis
8 Carroll, L. (2006). Through the lookยญing-glass, and what Alice found there (R. D. Martin, Ed.). Penguin Classics. (Original work pubยญlished 1871.)
9 Ariew, R. (1976). Ockhamโ€™s Razor: A hisยญtorยญicยญal and philoยญsophยญicยญal anaยญlysยญis of simยญpliยญcity in sciยญence. Scientific American, 234(3), 88โ€‰โ€“โ€‰93.
10 Hanlon, R. J. (1980). Murphyโ€™s Law book two: More reasยญons why things go wrong!. Los Angeles: Price Stern Sloan.
11 Keynes, J. M. (1936). The genยญerยญal theยญory of employยญment, interest, and money. London: Macmillan.
12 Kaufman, P. A. (Ed.). (2005). Poor Charlieโ€™s almanยญack: The wit and wisยญdom of Charles T. Munger. Virginia Beach, VA: Donning Company Publishers.
13 Chesterton, G. K. (1929). โ€œThe Drift from Domesticityโ€. Archived 6 November 2018 at the Wayback Machine In: The Thing. London: Sheed & Ward, p. 35
14 Silfwer, J. (2022, November 3). Walter Lippmann: Public Opinion and Perception Management. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โ€‹docโ€‹torโ€‹spinโ€‹.net/โ€‹wโ€‹aโ€‹lโ€‹tโ€‹eโ€‹rโ€‹-โ€‹lโ€‹iโ€‹pโ€‹pโ€‹mโ€‹aโ€‹nn/
15 Graham, B. (2006). The intelยญliยญgent investor: The definยญitยญive book on value investยญing (Rev. ed., updated with new comยญmentยญary by J. Zweig). Harper Business. (Original work pubยญlished 1949.)
16 Diminishing returns. (2024, November 15). Wikipedia. https://โ€‹enโ€‹.wikiโ€‹peโ€‹diaโ€‹.org/โ€‹wโ€‹iโ€‹kโ€‹iโ€‹/โ€‹Dโ€‹iโ€‹mโ€‹iโ€‹nโ€‹iโ€‹sโ€‹hโ€‹iโ€‹nโ€‹gโ€‹_โ€‹rโ€‹eโ€‹tโ€‹uโ€‹rns
17 Parsons, M., & Pearson-Freeland, M. (Hosts). (2021, August 8). Charlie Munger: Latticework of menยญtal modยญels (No. 139) [Audio podยญcast episยญode]. In Moonshots podยญcast: Learning out loud. Moonshots. https://โ€‹wwwโ€‹.moonโ€‹shotsโ€‹.io/โ€‹eโ€‹pโ€‹iโ€‹sโ€‹oโ€‹dโ€‹eโ€‹-โ€‹1โ€‹3โ€‹9โ€‹-โ€‹cโ€‹hโ€‹aโ€‹rโ€‹lโ€‹iโ€‹eโ€‹-โ€‹mโ€‹uโ€‹nโ€‹gโ€‹eโ€‹rโ€‹-โ€‹lโ€‹aโ€‹tโ€‹tโ€‹iโ€‹cโ€‹eโ€‹wโ€‹oโ€‹rโ€‹kโ€‹-โ€‹oโ€‹fโ€‹-โ€‹mโ€‹eโ€‹nโ€‹tโ€‹aโ€‹lโ€‹-โ€‹mโ€‹oโ€‹dโ€‹els
18 Epstein, D. (2019). Range: Why genยญerยญalยญists triยญumph in a speยญcialยญized world. Riverhead Books.
19 Silfwer, J. (2012, October 31). The Acceleration Theory: Use Momentum To Finish First. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โ€‹docโ€‹torโ€‹spinโ€‹.net/โ€‹aโ€‹cโ€‹cโ€‹eโ€‹lโ€‹eโ€‹rโ€‹aโ€‹tโ€‹iโ€‹oโ€‹nโ€‹-โ€‹tโ€‹hโ€‹eโ€‹oโ€‹ry/
20 Silfwer, J. (2018, December 27). The Techlash: Our Great Confusion. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โ€‹docโ€‹torโ€‹spinโ€‹.net/โ€‹tโ€‹eโ€‹cโ€‹hโ€‹lโ€‹aโ€‹sh/
21 Silfwer, J. (2020, April 24). Slow is Smooth, Smooth is Fast. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โ€‹docโ€‹torโ€‹spinโ€‹.net/โ€‹sโ€‹lโ€‹oโ€‹wโ€‹-โ€‹iโ€‹sโ€‹-โ€‹sโ€‹mโ€‹oโ€‹oโ€‹th/
22 Silfwer, J. (2021, January 27). The Easy Street PR Strategy: Keep It Simple To Win. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โ€‹docโ€‹torโ€‹spinโ€‹.net/โ€‹eโ€‹aโ€‹sโ€‹yโ€‹-โ€‹sโ€‹tโ€‹rโ€‹eโ€‹eโ€‹tโ€‹-โ€‹pโ€‹rโ€‹-โ€‹sโ€‹tโ€‹rโ€‹aโ€‹tโ€‹eโ€‹gy/
23 Silfwer, J. (2019, March 10). Critical Mass: How Many Social Media Followers Do You Need? Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โ€‹docโ€‹torโ€‹spinโ€‹.net/โ€‹cโ€‹rโ€‹iโ€‹tโ€‹iโ€‹cโ€‹aโ€‹lโ€‹-โ€‹mโ€‹aโ€‹sโ€‹sโ€‹-โ€‹fโ€‹oโ€‹lโ€‹lโ€‹oโ€‹wโ€‹eโ€‹rs/
24 Letโ€™s say the numยญber of new social media shares per cycle is a conยญstant mulยญtiยญpliยญer, m. If the cycle time is t and the total time under conยญsidยญerยญaยญtion is T, the numยญber of cycles in this time is T/โ€‹tโ€‹. The total reach after time T can be approxยญimยญated by m(T/t), assumยญing one iniยญtial share. When t decreases, T/โ€‹tโ€‹ increases, meanยญing more cycles occur in the same total time, T. This leads to a highยญer m power in the expresยญsion m(T/t), which means a more extensยญive reach.
25 Silfwer, J. (2017, February 6). Viral Loops (or How to Incentivise Social Media Sharing). Doctor Spin | the PR Blog. https://โ€‹docโ€‹torโ€‹spinโ€‹.net/โ€‹vโ€‹iโ€‹rโ€‹aโ€‹lโ€‹-โ€‹lโ€‹oโ€‹op/
26 Silfwer, J. (2020, September 18). Communicative Leadership in Organisations. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โ€‹docโ€‹torโ€‹spinโ€‹.net/โ€‹cโ€‹oโ€‹mโ€‹mโ€‹uโ€‹nโ€‹iโ€‹cโ€‹aโ€‹tโ€‹iโ€‹vโ€‹eโ€‹-โ€‹lโ€‹eโ€‹aโ€‹dโ€‹eโ€‹rโ€‹sโ€‹hโ€‹ip/
27 Silfwer, J. (2020, September 18). The Checklist for Communicative Organisations. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โ€‹docโ€‹torโ€‹spinโ€‹.net/โ€‹cโ€‹hโ€‹eโ€‹cโ€‹kโ€‹lโ€‹iโ€‹sโ€‹tโ€‹-โ€‹fโ€‹oโ€‹rโ€‹-โ€‹cโ€‹oโ€‹mโ€‹mโ€‹uโ€‹nโ€‹iโ€‹cโ€‹aโ€‹tโ€‹iโ€‹vโ€‹eโ€‹-โ€‹lโ€‹eโ€‹aโ€‹dโ€‹eโ€‹rโ€‹sโ€‹hโ€‹ip/
28 Silfwer, J. (2019, October 17). Survivorship Bias. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โ€‹docโ€‹torโ€‹spinโ€‹.net/โ€‹sโ€‹uโ€‹rโ€‹vโ€‹iโ€‹vโ€‹oโ€‹rโ€‹sโ€‹hโ€‹iโ€‹pโ€‹-โ€‹bโ€‹iโ€‹as/
Jerry Silfwer
Jerry Silfwerhttps://doctorspin.net/
Jerry Silfwer, alias Doctor Spin, is an awarded senior adviser specialising in public relations and digital strategy. Currently CEO at Spin Factory and KIX Communication Index. Before that, he worked at Whispr Group NYC, Springtime PR, and Spotlight PR. Based in Stockholm, Sweden.

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