Doctor SpinThe PR BlogDigital TransformationWhy AI Won't Replace Your PR Department Anytime Soon

Why AI Wonโ€™t Replace Your PR Department Anytime Soon

To replace PR pros, AI must pass the Turing test.

Cover photo: @jerrysilfwer

Will AI replace your PR department? 

Well, not anyยญtime soonโ€‰โ€”โ€‰espeยญcially if it will require the sinยญguยญlarยญity.

But must AI become that sophยญistยญicยญated to begin replaยญcing PR departยญments? A

AI is rapยญidly evolving, and with Googleโ€™s deep-learnยญing GPTโ€‘3 (genยญerยญatยญive pre-trained transยญformer) and AI image-genยญerยญatยญing tools like Midjourney, AI is already hard at work writยญing texts and proยญduยญcing images.

Still, masยญterยญing the human lanยญguage and passing the Turing test is a tall order.

Hereโ€™s why:

Why Human Language is Unique

Most animยญals have some capaยญcity for communication

For animยญals with a highยญer degree of senยญtience, comยญmuยญnicยญaยญtion can be conยญnecยญted to externยญal conยญcepยญtuยญalยญisaยญtions; a tribe of monยญkeys could have a disยญtinct and disยญtinยญguishยญable sound for โ€œdanger approachยญingโ€, for instance. 1Early human lanยญguages were probยญably advanced forms of semiยญotยญics where the sounds themยญselves sigยญniยญfy abstract meanยญings.

However, about 75,000 years ago, humans surยญpassed this level in a relยญatยญively short evolยญuยญtionยญary time span. 

We moved on from audยญible comยญmuยญnicยญaยญtion to using human lanยญguage, a skill that difยญferยญenยญtiยญates us from all othยญer life forms on our planet. 

In this in-depth conยญverยญsaยญtion, the linยญguist Noam Chomsky explains why lanยญguage is unique to humans:

The Mystery of Human Language

Understanding the vast difยญferยญence between a monยญkeyโ€™s use of disยญtinct sounds and human lanยญguage is importยญant. Or, more accurยญatelyโ€‰โ€”โ€‰how little we underยญstand about this difference.

We donโ€™t know how or why we developed our skills for human lanยญguage so quickly. 

We donโ€™t know how and why it became so preยญvalยญent in preยญsumยญably all homยญinยญids at the time. 

We donโ€™t know how the skill of human lanยญguage evolvedโ€‰โ€”โ€‰only that it did. 

And it doesยญnโ€™t seem likely that lanยญguage skill was selecยญted over enough genยญerยญaยญtions to proยญduce such a fast bioยญloยญgicยญal resยญult. There are othยญer comยญplex and fasยญcinยญatยญing products of evolยญuยญtion, like the eye. 

But in nature, eyes have been around milยญlions of years and have developed into thouยญsands and thouยญsands of difยญferยญent varieties. 

Weโ€™re stuck with a sciยญentifยญic sample size of one; humans.

Neoteny: Apes with Juvenile Features

One interยญestยญing theยญory sugยญgests a mutaยญtion in which a speยญcifยญic breed of homยญinยญids, our early ape-like ancestยญors, suffered from a develยญopยญment malยญfuncยญtion in which the infant homยญinยญid brain kept developing. 

According to the theยญory, human beings are overยญgrown โ€œape chilยญdren.โ€ This would parยญtially explain our more juvenยญile feaยญtures (โ€œneotenyโ€), the lack of fur, and our weakยญer bodies. 

More importยญantly, the theยญory could explain why our brain sudยญdenly grew many magยญnitudes of its priยญor capacity:

โ€œFor decยญades sciยญentยญists have noted that mature humans physยญicยญally resemble immaยญture chimpsโ€‰โ€”โ€‰we, too, have small jaws, flat faces and sparse body hair. The retenยญtion of juvenยญile feaยญtures, called neoteny in evolยญuยญtionยญary bioยญlogy, is espeยญcially apparยญent in domestยญicยญated animยญalsโ€‰โ€”โ€‰thanks to human prefยญerยญences, many dog breeds have puppy feaยญtures such as floppy ears, short snouts and large eyes. Now genetยญic evidยญence sugยญgests that neoteny could help explain why humans are so radยญicยญally difยญferยญent from chimยญpanยญzees, even though both speยญcies share most of the same genes and split apart only about six milยญlion years ago, a short time in evolยญuยญtionยญary terms.โ€

Mapping the Brain: 200โ€‰โ€“โ€‰500 Years Away

A popยญuยญlar expresยญsion states that we know more about the surยญface of the moon than we know of the floor of the sea. 

Well, weโ€™re closer to knowยญing whatโ€™s going on in our oceans than mapยญping out a cluster of bioยญloยญgicยญal neurยญons to underยญstand how they proยญduce conยญsciousยญnessโ€‰โ€”โ€‰and human language. 

Itโ€™s difยญfiยญcult to sciยญenยญtificยญally test how human lanยญguage is affectยญing our brains. Itโ€™s posยญsible that inner diaยญlogue (internยญal lanยญguage use) is closely conยญnecยญted to comยญplex pheยญnomยญena like conยญsciousยญness.

Decoding the human brain is necesยญsary to creยญate an AI capยญable of replaยญcing human language.

The famยญous Turing test is a senยญtiยญment to this effect: 

Are we able to proยญduce a talkยญing machine able to trick a human being? Despite it being a chalยญlenge, such a task is minusยญcule comยญpared to the chalยญlenge of conยญstructยญing a machine that uses lanยญguage the way we humans starยญted using it about 75,000 years ago. 

We have mapped out the human genยญome, but weโ€™re still far from figยญurยญing out how it all works. Even at expoยญnenยญtial growth, we might be at least 200โ€‰โ€“โ€‰500 years away from being able to map out (and underยญstand) the neurยญal workยญings of a human brain. 

A comยญpetยญing hypoยญthesยญis is that humanยญity will venยญture far into transhumanยญism (humans augยญmenยญted through techยญnoยญlogy), a cyberยญnetยญic renaisยญsance, long before we can sucยญcessยญfully decode human lanยญguage through AI. 

Itโ€™s likely that we will fuse humans and machines and creยญate a human API long before we can pass the Turing test.

The Singularity: 2062 ยฑ 8 years

So, will AI replace your PR departยญment anyยญtime soon?

The answer seems to be a defยญinยญite โ€œnoโ€ if we by AI mean achievยญing masยญterยญing human comยญmuยญnicยญaยญtion. Such AI capยญabยญilยญitยญies might require a techยญnoยญloยญgicยญal sinยญguยญlarยญityโ€”which comes with its own disยญturbยญing chalยญlenges (where keepยญing our jobs is not one of them).

It also depends on what we mean by โ€œsoon.โ€

Futurist Ray Kurzweil has famยญously preยญdicted that the sinยญguยญlarยญity will occur in 2045, and othยญers have argued statยญistยญicยญally that this might be โ€œoptimยญistยญicโ€ and that it should occur in 2060โ€‰โ€“โ€‰65 ยฑ 10 years (later speยญcified to 2062 ยฑ 8 years).

However, this is where we lose full conยญtrol over techยญnoยญloยญgicยญal advanceยญments in a way that proยญhibยญits us from ever going back, which is not to guarยญanยญtee senยญtient comยญputers able to comยญmuยญnicยญate sucยญcessยญfully with humans.

ANI vs AGI

The chalยญlenges of masยญterยญing lanยญguage run deep withยญin the AI comยญmunity, surely. But if you think that AI wonโ€™t transยญform the PR industry, youโ€™d be mistaken.

Thereโ€™s a vast difยญferยญence between the AI sinยญguยญlarยญity (which is the one the pubยญlic typยญicยญally fear) or AGI (artiยญfiยญcial genยญerยญal intelยญliยญgence) and ANI (artiยญfiยญcial narยญrow intelligence). 

Eleonora Terzi, whose disยญserยญtaยญtion in MA, Public Relations, Advertising and Applied Communication is focused on AI in PR, writes:

โ€œโ€ฆ we are curยญrently livยญing in the age of Artificial Narrow Intelligence (ANI): all the tools and instruยญments that have been sucยญcessยญfully developed so far belong to a stage of weak AI. AI that matches human capยญabยญilยญitยญiesโ€‰โ€”โ€‰or even surยญpasses themโ€‰โ€”โ€‰is a long way from us, and it is pure specยญuยญlaยญtion so far. Nonetheless, even at this stage, AI has already starยญted makยญing its impact on a lot of indusยญtriesโ€‰โ€”โ€‰such as finยญanยญcial serยญvices, law, healthยญcareโ€‰โ€”โ€‰and PR is no excepยญtion. Two years ago, the CIPRโ€™s Humans Still Needed study found that 12% of a PR practitionerโ€™s total skills (out of 52 skills) could be comยญpleยญmenยญted or replaced by AI today, with a preยญdicยญtion that this could climb to 38% withยญin five years.โ€

And Jean Valin Hon FCIPR, Principal of Valin Strategic Communications, writes:

โ€œAI is about to massively change our lives. The pubยญlic relaยญtions proยญfesยญsion needs to keep up. We need more experยญiยญence with these tools and more critยญicยญal reviews to learn how best to use them and their limยญitยญaยญtions. Regardless of the tasks and skills that can be autoยญmated or beneยญfit from AI, human interยญvenยญtion, editยญing, sensยญitยญivยญity, emoยญtionยญal intelยญliยญgence, applyยญing good judgeยญment and ethยญics will always be needed.โ€

For the next 20 years, the main techยญnoยญloยญgicยญal drivers impactยญing your PR departยญments will be a comยญbinยญaยญtion of sevยญerยญal impactยญful AI trends:

  • Automation
  • Deep learnยญing
  • Neural netยญworks
  • Machine-learnยญing
  • Quantum data analysis
  • Quantum-drivยญen algorithms
  • Smart conยญtracts (blockยญchain technology)

In sumยญmary: Itโ€™s not that your comยญmuยญnicยญaยญtion departยญment will be replaced by ANI per se, but that fewยญer comยญmuยญnicยญatยญors will be needed to perยญform comยญplex tasks efficiently.

Kerry Sheehan, chair of the AIinPR Panel, writes:

โ€œBe it through improved autoยญmaยญtion and AI-enabled tools for many areas includยญing, media monยญitยญorยญing, social mapยญping and listenยญing, stakeยญholdยญer manยญageยญment, proยญgramme and proยญject manยญageยญment, autoยญmated conยญtent for a range of internยญal and externยญal purยญposes, includยญing movยญing busiยญness, organยญisaยญtions and brands towards more owned conยญtent and becomยญing their own news pubยญlishยญers, or virยญtuยญal, conยญverยญsaยญtionยญal assistยญants, chatยญbots or curยญatยญors. [โ€ฆ] It goes without sayยญing where the media goes, PR must keep up.โ€


Jerry Silfwer - Doctor Spin - Spin Factory - Public Relations

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PR Resource: How AI Will Impact PR

PR Beyond AI

Whenever Iโ€™m asked what I do for a livยญing, I reply, โ€œI help organยญisaยญtions to comยญmuยญnicยญate betยญter.โ€ That, to me, has always felt like an accurยญate and meanยญingยญful answer.

But proยญgress is unavoidable. 

As the AI Revolution makes its presยญence felt, I think about what โ€˜comยญmuยญnicยญatยญing betยญterโ€™ will mean as we move forward.

Iโ€™m wonยญderยญing:

  • As PR proยญfesยญsionยญals, is our job to ease the replaceยญment proยญcess by manยญaging humans while AI machines slowly take over?
  • If so, will it be our last job as PR proยญfesยญsionยญals to โ€œsee ourselves outโ€ before โ€œturnยญing off the lightsโ€ and handยญing over the โ€œoffice keysโ€ to autonomยญous comยญmuยญnicยญaยญtion protocols?

Replacing Humansโ€‰โ€”โ€‰A Good or Bad Idea?

During the Industrial Revolution, sociยญety underยญwent three disยญtinct phases:

  • Phase 1: Liberating humans. The Industrial Revolution libยญerยญated sociยญety from a less civยญilยญised (and much poorer) agrariยญan lifestyle.
  • Phase 2: Utilising humans. The Industrial Revolution utilยญised sociยญety by schoolยญing us into utilยญitยญariยญan single-outยญput instruments.
  • Phase 3: Replacing humans. Finally, the Industrial Revolution replaced humans in favour of betยญter machines.

Based on the three phases of the Industrial Revolution, we can see that whatever comes afterยญwards is a natยญurยญal outยญcome of the indusยญtriยญalยญisaยญtion process.

The resยญult wasยญnโ€™t terยญrible. The AI Revolution may lead to simยญilยญar outcomes.

How AI Will Impact PR (Probably)

Overall, AIโ€™s impact on the PR industry is likely to be sigยญniยญficยญant, with the potenยญtial to revoluยญtionยญise many aspects of how PR proยญfesยญsionยญals work and interยญact with stakeยญholdยญers, influยญenยญcers, and pubยญlics.

The AI revolution in PR.
The AI revoluยญtion in PR.

There are sevยญerยญal ways in which artiยญfiยญcial intelยญliยญgence (AI) is likely to impact the pubยญlic relaยญtions (PR) industry. 

Here are a few examples:

  • More decision-level tasks, fewยญer proยญducยญtion-level tasks. AI-powered tools autoยญmate tasks such as media monยญitยญorยญing, conยญtent creยญation, and social media manยญageยญment. This could free up PR proยญfesยญsionยญals to focus on their workโ€™s more straยญtegic and creยญatยญive aspects.
  • Improved anaยญlysยญis and betยญter strategies. The develยญopยญment of AI-powered sysยญtems that can anaยญlyse large amounts of data to identiยญfy trends and insights that can inform PR strategy and decision-making.
  • Using PR proยญfesยญsionยญals as AI trainยญers. Using AI-powered chatยญbots and virยญtuยญal assistยญants to handle cusยญtomยญer inquirยญies and provide informยญaยญtion to the pubยญlic allows PR proยญfesยญsionยญals to scale PR training.
  • Better pubยญliยญcity through interยญconยญnectivยญity. The creยญation of AI-powered platยญforms and netยญworks that can facilยญitยญate conยญnecยญtions and colยญlabยญorยญaยญtions between PR proยญfesยญsionยญals, journยญalยญists, pubยญlics, influยญenยญcers, and othยญer critยญicยญal stakeยญholdยญers in the industry.
  • Earlier detecยญtions of potenยญtial PR issues. AI-powered tools can help PR proยญfesยญsionยญals identiยญfy and mitยญigยญate potenยญtial crises by anaยญlysยญing data and providยญing early warnยญing sigยญnals of potenยญtial problems.
  • Increased editยญorยญiยญal outยญput. In organยญisaยญtions where the comยญmuยญnicยญaยญtions departยญment is drivยญing the conยญtent strategy, PR proยญfesยญsionยญals will have plenty of tools for increasยญing both the qualยญity and the quantยญity of the outยญput. 2Silfwer, J. (2023, March 20). The AI Content Explosion. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โ€‹docโ€‹torโ€‹spinโ€‹.net/โ€‹aโ€‹iโ€‹-โ€‹cโ€‹oโ€‹nโ€‹tโ€‹eโ€‹nโ€‹tโ€‹-โ€‹eโ€‹xโ€‹pโ€‹lโ€‹oโ€‹sโ€‹iโ€‹on/

More IT = We Need More (Not Less) PR Skills

Historically, sociยญetยญal proยญgress has often meant that humans have been freed to think, comยญmuยญnicยญate, and creยญate. And itโ€™s usuยญally in these rare and inspired times of enlightยญenยญment that we take great strides towards disยญcovยญerยญing meanยญing, creยญatยญing art, and underยญstandยญing the universe.

For betยญter or worse, pubยญlic relaยญtions is a lubยญricยญant for the interยญface between the indusยญtriยญal sysยญtems and real people engaged in proยญduยญcing and consuming. 

This is how PR proยญfesยญsionยญals have found their role in the greatยญer scheme of sociยญetยญal development.

This is likely how weโ€™ll find our footยญing beyยญond AI, too.

In a post-AI sociยญety, human-to-human comยญmuยญnicยญaยญtion skills will likely be as valยญued as they are today. Perhaps even more.

Read also: PR Beyond AI

PR Resource: The Electronic Age

Enter: The Electronic Age

Human culยญture is often described based on our access to proยญducยญtion techยญnoยญloยญgies (e.g., the Stone Age, the Bronze Age, and the Iron Age).

According to Marshall McLuhan and the Toronto School of Communication Theory, a betยญter anaยญlysยญis would be to view sociยญetยญal develยญopยญment based on the promยญinยญence of emerยญging comยญmuยญnicยญaยญtions technologies.

Marshall McLuhan - Cambridge University - Digital-First
Marshall McLuhan at Cambridge University, circa 1940.

McLuhanโ€™s Four Epochs

McLuhan sugยญgests dividยญing human civilยญisaยญtion into four epochs:

  • Oral Tribe Culture. Handwriting marks the beginยญning of the end of the Oral Tribe Culture. The Oral Tribe Culture perยญsists but without its former prominence.
  • Manuscript Culture. Printing marks the beginยญning of the end of the Manuscript Culture, which perยญsists but without its former prominence.
  • Gutenberg Galaxy. Electricity marks the beginยญning of the end of the Gutenberg Galaxy. The Gutenberg Galaxy perยญsists but without its former prominence.
  • Electronic Age. Today, we reside in the Electronic Age. Possibly, we havenโ€™t experยญiยญenced the beginยญning of this ageโ€™s decline yet.

โ€œThe Gutenberg Galaxy is a landยญmark book that introยญduced the concept of the globยญal vilยญlage and estabยญlished Marshall McLuhan as the oriยญginยญal โ€˜media guruโ€™, with more than 200,000 copยญies in print.โ€
Source: Modern Language Review 3McLuhan, M. (1963). The Gutenberg galaxy: the makยญing of typoยญgraphยญic man. Modern Language Review, 58, 542. https://โ€‹doiโ€‹.org/โ€‹1โ€‹0โ€‹.โ€‹2โ€‹3โ€‹0โ€‹7โ€‹/โ€‹3โ€‹7โ€‹1โ€‹9โ€‹923

The Electronic Age according to Marshall McLuhan.
โ€œThe Electronic Age,โ€ accordยญing to Marshall McLuhan.

As a PR proยญfesยญsionยญal and linยญguist, I subยญscribe to the concept of the Electronic Age. I firmly believe sociยญety is unlikely to revert to the Gutenberg Galaxy.

Like the rest of sociยญety, the PR industry must comยญmit to digitยญal-first, too. Mark my words: Itโ€™s all-in or bust.

Read also: The Electronic Age and the End of the Gutenberg Galaxy

Annotations
Annotations
1 Early human lanยญguages were probยญably advanced forms of semiยญotยญics where the sounds themยญselves sigยญniยญfy abstract meanings.
2 Silfwer, J. (2023, March 20). The AI Content Explosion. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โ€‹docโ€‹torโ€‹spinโ€‹.net/โ€‹aโ€‹iโ€‹-โ€‹cโ€‹oโ€‹nโ€‹tโ€‹eโ€‹nโ€‹tโ€‹-โ€‹eโ€‹xโ€‹pโ€‹lโ€‹oโ€‹sโ€‹iโ€‹on/
3 McLuhan, M. (1963). The Gutenberg galaxy: the makยญing of typoยญgraphยญic man. Modern Language Review, 58, 542. https://โ€‹doiโ€‹.org/โ€‹1โ€‹0โ€‹.โ€‹2โ€‹3โ€‹0โ€‹7โ€‹/โ€‹3โ€‹7โ€‹1โ€‹9โ€‹923
Jerry Silfwer
Jerry Silfwerhttps://doctorspin.net/
Jerry Silfwer, alias Doctor Spin, is an awarded senior adviser specialising in public relations and digital strategy. Currently CEO at Spin Factory and KIX Communication Index. Before that, he worked at Whispr Group NYC, Springtime PR, and Spotlight PR. Based in Stockholm, Sweden.

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