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PR Commentary on Current Events, No Thanks

Why media polarisation is disturbing.

Cover photo: @jerrysilfwer

โ€œIโ€™d like more PR comยญmentยญary on curยญrent events.โ€

This is comยญmon feedยญback, but Iโ€™m not accomยญmodยญatยญing this request. There are two main reasยญons for this: one is excessยญively more disยญturbยญing than the other.

Here we go:

Reason 1: Evergreen as a Strategy

I try to be mindยญful of the Follower Contract:

If I promยญise to be a desยญtinยญaยญtion for the latest PR comยญmentยญary on curยญrent events, I must be able to delivยญer on that promยญise long-term. Since I run a busiยญness based on advising organยญisaยญtions, I share everยญgreen conยญtent instead of news commentary.

Doing both could be a bad strategy. If half the returnยญing readยญerยญship comes for everยญgreen conยญtent and the othยญer half for news comยญmentยญary, search engines and social media algorithms, I increase the risk of disยญapยญpointยญing half of that readยญerยญshipโ€‰โ€”โ€‰half of the time.

Splitting the returnยญing readยญerยญship into two halves also makes it expoยญnenยญtially harder for search engines and social media algorithms to sugยญgest my conยญtent to the right type of audiยญence. Suppose I disยญapยญpoint half of the returnยญing readยญerยญship half of the time. In that case, Iโ€™ll trick the algorithms into indexยญing my conยญtent at a much lower qualยญity level from an engageยญment perspective.

Providing PR comยญmentยญary on curยญrent events is a potenยญtially excelยญlent conยญtent strategy. Running two parยญalยญlel conยญtent strategies and riskยญing them canยญcelยญling each othยญer out is the issue.

But thereโ€™s a more disยญturbยญing reasยญon, too.

Reason 2: The Media Polarisation Model

The Media Polarisation Model

We often hear how the media cliยญmate is โ€œpolarยญisedโ€โ€‰โ€”โ€‰a known and reasยญonยญably well-underยญstood effect of clasยญsic media logic.

It also seems true that social media logic has ampยญliยญfied the effects of polarยญisaยญtion by groupยญing people into echo chamยญbers where conยญfirmยญaยญtion bias, conยญverยญsion theยญory, and the hosยญtile media effect are allowed to roam freely without any checks and balances.

โ€œPolitical elites, parยญtisยญan media, and social media conยญtribยญute to sociยญetยญal-level politยญicยญal polarยญizยญaยญtion, leadยญing to misยญperยญcepยญtions of diviยญsion among the electยญorยญate and fuelยญing animยญosยญity and actuยญal ideoยญloยญgicยญal polarยญizยญaยญtion over time.โ€
Source: Current Opinion in Behavioral Sciences 1Wilson, A., Parker, V., & Feinberg, M. (2020). Polarization in the conยญtemยญporยญary politยญicยญal and media landยญscape. Current Opinion in Behavioral Sciences, 34, 223โ€‰โ€“โ€‰228. โ€ฆ Continue readยญing

More proยญfoundly, media polarยญisaยญtion is probยญlemยญatยญic because it draws false lines between extremes that arenโ€™t necesยญsarยญily perยญpenยญdicยญuยญlar. These โ€œfalse linesโ€ will force othยญerยญwise balยญanced media conยญsumers to place themยญselves between the media-sugยญgesยญted extremes.

The Media Polarisation Model - Doctor Spin - The PR Blog - Version 1
The Media Polarisation Model (Version 1). Both extreme posยญiยญtions are at the maxยญimยญum disยญtance from the centre of the issue, but that doesnโ€™t mean that the media porยญtrayยญal of โ€œopposยญing extremesโ€ are perยญpenยญdicยญuยญlar to each othยญer. Often, extreme views can be simยญilยญar desยญpite being described by the media as opposยญites. A โ€œmiddle groundโ€ between two such extremes can be quite far from the centre of the issue, too.

At the extremes, sheltered by the social safety of a like-minded peer group (i.e. echo chamยญber), itโ€™s posยญsible to disยญregยญard opposยญing evidยญence as โ€œattacksโ€ on their posยญiยญtion. As the ampยญliยญficยญaยญtion hypoยญthesยญis states, any such attacks will only strengthen the posยญiยญtion of the extremes.

  • The harder you attack someone verbally, the more you conยญvince them of their belief, not yours.

The Post-Truth Zone

The ampยญliยญficยญaยญtion hypoยญthesยญis susยญtains a โ€œPost-Truth Zoneโ€ at the extremes through media polarยญisaยญtion. If a) the zone is wide enough and b) the extremes are sufยญfiยญciently close to each othยญer, the forced โ€œbalยญancedโ€ posยญiยญtion between them will also resยญult in the โ€œPost-Truthโ€ Zone.

โ€œPost-truth is a sociยญetยญal pheยญnomenยญon, influยญenced by the expectยญaยญtion that honยญesty is the default posยญiยญtion, and the pubยญlic tolยญerยญance of inacยญcurยญate and undefenยญded allegยญaยญtions in politยญics.โ€
Source: Nature 2Higgins, K. (2016). Post-truth: a guide for the perยญplexed. Nature, 540, 9โ€‰โ€“โ€‰9. https://โ€‹doiโ€‹.org/โ€‹1โ€‹0โ€‹.โ€‹1โ€‹0โ€‹3โ€‹8โ€‹/โ€‹5โ€‹4โ€‹0โ€‹0โ€‹09a

The Media Polarisation Model - Doctor Spin - The PR Blog - Version 2
The Media Polarisation Model (Version 2). Once a peer group with extreme posยญiยญtions reach critยญicยญal mass, theyโ€™ll be more likely to reinยญforce their belief when quesยญtioned rationยญally. This creยญates a โ€œPost-Truthโ€ Zone the furยญthest away from the issueโ€™s centreโ€‰โ€”โ€‰where even a โ€œbalยญancedโ€ posยญiยญtion might land.

Since the forced โ€œbalยญancedโ€ posยญiยญtion will have a hard time shelยญterยญing anyยญone from our fear of social isolยญaยญtion, the spirยญal of silence parยญtially explains why extremes are so effectยญive in silenยญcing the majorยญity of othยญerยญwise balยญanced media conยญsumers. 3Silfwer, J. (2020, June 4). The Spiral of Silence. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โ€‹docโ€‹torโ€‹spinโ€‹.net/โ€‹sโ€‹pโ€‹iโ€‹rโ€‹aโ€‹lโ€‹-โ€‹oโ€‹fโ€‹-โ€‹sโ€‹iโ€‹lโ€‹eโ€‹nโ€‹ce/

  • Some feel pushed by the media to choose between two equally outยญlandยญish extremesโ€‰โ€”โ€‰or settle for an equally uncomยญfortยญable middle ground.

More often than not, in a post-truth sociยญety, havยญing no opinยญion sudยญdenly seems like the only rationยญal escape.

Normalize not having an opinion.
Normalise not havยญing an opinยญion, please.

The iron preยญscripยญtion (menยญtal modยญel). Senior advisor Charlie Munger argued: โ€œI have what I call an โ€˜iron preยญscripยญtionโ€™ that helps me keep sane when I natยญurยญally drift toward preยญferยญring one ideoยญlogy over anothยญer. I feel that Iโ€™m not entitled to have an opinยญion unless I can state the arguยญments against my posยญiยญtion betยญter than the people who are in opposยญiยญtion. I think that I am qualยญiยญfied to speak only when Iโ€™ve reached that stateโ€ (Knodell, 2016). 4Knodell, P. A. (2016). All I want to know is where Iโ€™m going to die so Iโ€™ll nevยญer go there: Buffett & Munger โ€“ A study in simยญpliยญcity and uncomยญmon, comยญmon sense. PAK Publishing.

Learn more: The Media Polarisation Model

Why Media Polarisation is Disturbing

Just like everyยญone else, I have perยญsonยญal opinยญions. However, as a PR proยญfesยญsionยญal with 18+ years of experยญiยญence, I can anaยญlyse any media issue based on straยญtegic comยญmuยญnicยญaยญtionโ€‰โ€”โ€‰without sidยญing with any of the extremes.

No matยญter how proยญfesยญsionยญal my anaยญlysยญis of a curยญrent media issue is, I will sufยญfer blowยญback from extremes, with no backยญing from the silent majorยญity whatยญsoยญever. I could, of course, steer clear of the โ€œfalse line,โ€ but then it wouldnโ€™t be a media anaยญlysยญis anymore.

Media trends tend to be cycยญlicยญal, and I assess that the post-truth era peaked in 2019. I believe the panยญdemยญic, folยญlowed by globยญal inflaยญtion and AI proยญgress, will dampen the mediaโ€™s interest in extreme posยญiยญtions and shrink the width of the post-truth zone.

Still, itโ€™s disยญturbยญing that the corยญrect busiยญness decision for many acaยญdemยญics, proยญfesยญsionยญals, and organยญisaยญtions is to straยญtegicยญally steer clear of topยญics taken โ€œhostยญageโ€ by extremists.

โ€œPost-truth comยญmuยญnicยญaยญtion has shaped our underยญstandยญing of truth, politยญics, and the media, with its impact on pubยญlic policy, hisยญtory, and social media.โ€
Source: Social Studies of Science 5Sismondo, S. (2017). Post-truth? Social Studies of Science, 47, 3โ€‰โ€”โ€‰6. https://โ€‹doiโ€‹.org/โ€‹1โ€‹0โ€‹.โ€‹1โ€‹1โ€‹7โ€‹7โ€‹/โ€‹0โ€‹3โ€‹0โ€‹6โ€‹3โ€‹1โ€‹2โ€‹7โ€‹1โ€‹7โ€‹6โ€‹9โ€‹2โ€‹076

PR Commentary, No Thanks

Itโ€™s a shame, really. From a media perยญspectยญive, we live in a time when thereโ€™s an abundยญance of curยญrent events worth anaยญlysยญing from a PR perยญspectยญive. Today, the disยญcourse around curยญrent events is much too polarยญisedโ€‰โ€”โ€‰and as a perยญson who favours win-win and balยญance in my perยญsonยญal life, I refuse to incentivยญise extreme positions.

Itโ€™s a forยญcing myth perยญpetยญrated by the extremยญists themยญselves that all comยญpetยญent proยญfesยญsionยญals who are choosยญing the silent path are doing so because they fear being โ€œexposedโ€ by canยญcel culยญture. Itโ€™s rather a 100% rationยญal busiยญness decision in a post-truth world.

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Thank you. Please supยญport my blog by sharยญing artยญicles with othยญer comยญmuยญnicยญaยญtions- and marยญketยญing proยญfesยญsionยญals. Please also conยญsider my PR serยญvices or speakยญing engageยญments.

PR Resource: More Media Logic

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PR Resource: The Media Blackout

The Media Blackout Tactic

Refusing to answer journยญalยญistยญic quesยญtions used to be a big no-no in pubยญlic relaยญtions. However, this proยญfesยญsionยญal ethยญos is underยญgoยญing some changes.

More and more organยญisaยญtions are delibยญerยญately avoidยญing any interยญacยญtion with traยญdiยญtionยญal news media:

Media blackยญout = when an organยญisaยญtion intenยญtionยญally avoid engaยญging with legยญacy news media, often to conยญtrol the narยญratยญive and proยญtect interests. Journalists criยญtiยญcise this pracยญtice as it obstructs investยญigยญatยญive reportยญing and underยญmines informยญaยญtion transparency.

Media Blackouts are the resยญult of unfair rules of engageยญment in a โ€œPost-Truthโ€ media landscape:

Media mineยญfield = the post-truth media landยญscape where interยญacยญtions with legยญacy news media often resยญult in delibยญerยญate misยญrepยญresยญentยญaยญtion. Organisations navยญigยญate this terยญrain cauยญtiously to avoid damยญaging their repuยญtaยญtion and pubยญlic image.

The Media Analysis

To resolve the situยญation, we face two main challenges:

  • As organยญisaยญtions learn to thrive without legยญacy news media, the PR funcยญtion must abanยญdon using the media blackยญout as a long-term tactic.
  • Legacy news media must acknowยญledge the media mineยญfield and return to reportยญing the balยญanced truth to the best of their journยญalยญistยญic abilities.

However, as a PR proยญfesยญsionยญal with 18+ years of experยญiยญence, I believe we will fall short on both these challenges.

Traditional news media will conยญtinยญue to fall apart, and the erosion of trust in organยญisaยญtions will be one of the many conยญtribยญutยญing factors. Organisations will likely opt for post-truth strategies, leadยญing to organยญisaยญtionยญal corยญroยญsion from the inside out.

โ€œPost-truth is a sociยญetยญal pheยญnomenยญon, influยญenced by the expectยญaยญtion that honยญesty is the default posยญiยญtion, and the pubยญlic tolยญerยญance of inacยญcurยญate and undefenยญded allegยญaยญtions in politยญics.โ€
Source: Nature 6Higgins, K. (2016). Post-truth: a guide for the perยญplexed. Nature, 540, 9โ€‰โ€“โ€‰9. https://โ€‹doiโ€‹.org/โ€‹1โ€‹0โ€‹.โ€‹1โ€‹0โ€‹3โ€‹8โ€‹/โ€‹5โ€‹4โ€‹0โ€‹0โ€‹09a

Instead, new โ€œsociยญetยญal pilยญlarsโ€ must be born out of the rubble: a new form of indeยญpendยญent news media based on trust (not clicks or ideoยญlogy) and a new form of sucยญcessยญful organยญisaยญtions based on transยญparยญency (not avoidยญance or exploitation).

Learn more: The Media Blackout: When PR Declines Media Interviews

Annotations
Annotations
1 Wilson, A., Parker, V., & Feinberg, M. (2020). Polarization in the conยญtemยญporยญary politยญicยญal and media landยญscape. Current Opinion in Behavioral Sciences, 34, 223โ€‰โ€“โ€‰228. https://โ€‹doiโ€‹.org/โ€‹1โ€‹0โ€‹.โ€‹3โ€‹1โ€‹2โ€‹3โ€‹4โ€‹/โ€‹oโ€‹sโ€‹fโ€‹.โ€‹iโ€‹oโ€‹/โ€‹yโ€‹qโ€‹vzc
2, 6 Higgins, K. (2016). Post-truth: a guide for the perยญplexed. Nature, 540, 9โ€‰โ€“โ€‰9. https://โ€‹doiโ€‹.org/โ€‹1โ€‹0โ€‹.โ€‹1โ€‹0โ€‹3โ€‹8โ€‹/โ€‹5โ€‹4โ€‹0โ€‹0โ€‹09a
3 Silfwer, J. (2020, June 4). The Spiral of Silence. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โ€‹docโ€‹torโ€‹spinโ€‹.net/โ€‹sโ€‹pโ€‹iโ€‹rโ€‹aโ€‹lโ€‹-โ€‹oโ€‹fโ€‹-โ€‹sโ€‹iโ€‹lโ€‹eโ€‹nโ€‹ce/
4 Knodell, P. A. (2016). All I want to know is where Iโ€™m going to die so Iโ€™ll nevยญer go there: Buffett & Munger โ€“ A study in simยญpliยญcity and uncomยญmon, comยญmon sense. PAK Publishing.
5 Sismondo, S. (2017). Post-truth? Social Studies of Science, 47, 3โ€‰โ€”โ€‰6. https://โ€‹doiโ€‹.org/โ€‹1โ€‹0โ€‹.โ€‹1โ€‹1โ€‹7โ€‹7โ€‹/โ€‹0โ€‹3โ€‹0โ€‹6โ€‹3โ€‹1โ€‹2โ€‹7โ€‹1โ€‹7โ€‹6โ€‹9โ€‹2โ€‹076
Jerry Silfwer
Jerry Silfwerhttps://doctorspin.net/
Jerry Silfwer, alias Doctor Spin, is an awarded senior adviser specialising in public relations and digital strategy. Currently CEO at Spin Factory and KIX Communication Index. Before that, he worked at Kaufmann, Whispr Group, Springtime PR, and Spotlight PR. Based in Stockholm, Sweden.

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