Doctor SpinThe PR BlogPublic Affairs & LobbyingThe Bandwagon Effect: Momentum Is Everything

The Bandwagon Effect: Momentum Is Everything

Self-fulfilling prophecies for predicted winners and losers.

Cover photo: @jerrysilfwer

The bandยญwagยญon effect: here comes everybody!

The bandยญwagยญon effect is a psyยญchoยญloยญgicยญal pheยญnomenยญon where indiยญviduยญals adopt cerยญtain behaยญviours, styles, or attiยญtudes because they perยญceive that othยญers are doing the same.

For PR proยญfesยญsionยญals, the bandยญwagยญon effect can be a double-edged sword.

Here we go:

The Bandwagon Effect

The bandยญwagยญon effect is a form of groupยญthink where the popยญularยญity of a trend, idea, or opinยญion encourยญages more people to โ€œjump on the bandยญwagยญon.โ€ Much of the sciยญentifยญic research on the bandยญwagยญon effect stems from research on politยญicยญal communications.

โ€œOpinion polls can lead to a โ€˜bandยญwagยญon effectโ€™ where people adopt majorยญity views, or a โ€˜underยญdog effectโ€™ where people adopt minorยญity views, potenยญtially impactยญing social sciยญence preยญdicยญtions and pollยญstersโ€™ proยญfesยญsionยญal repuยญtaยญtions.โ€
Source: British Journal of Political Science 1Marsh, C. (1985). Back on the Bandwagon: The Effect of Opinion Polls on Public Opinion. British Journal of Political Science, 15, 51โ€‰โ€”โ€‰74. https://โ€‹doiโ€‹.org/โ€‹1โ€‹0โ€‹.โ€‹1โ€‹0โ€‹1โ€‹7โ€‹/โ€‹Sโ€‹0โ€‹0โ€‹0โ€‹7โ€‹1โ€‹2โ€‹3โ€‹4โ€‹0โ€‹0โ€‹0โ€‹0โ€‹4โ€‹063.

For PR proยญfesยญsionยญals, leverยญaging the bandยญwagยญon effect can be a powerยญful strategy to creยญate momentum for a camยญpaign, product, or idea. They can perยญsuade more people to engage with it by highยญlightยญing its popยญularยญity or wideยญspread acceptance.

For instance, showยญcasยญing high numยญbers of users, posยญitยญive testiยญmoยญniยญals, or celebrity endorseยญments can encourยญage othยญers to folยญlow suit, believยญing that such wideยญspread acceptยญance implies value or correctness.

โ€œThe bandยญwagยญon effect sigยญniยญficยญantly influยญences voter prefยญerยญences, explainยญing 6% of the variยญance in voter prefยญerยญences, with stronger effects for women and indiยญviduยญals with more arousยญable and less domยญinยญant temยญperaยญments.โ€
Source: Journal of Applied Social Psychology 2Mehrabian, L. (1998). Effects of Poll Reports on Voter Preferences. Journal of Applied Social Psychology, 28, 2119โ€‰โ€“โ€‰2130. https://โ€‹doiโ€‹.org/โ€‹1โ€‹0โ€‹.โ€‹1โ€‹1โ€‹1โ€‹1โ€‹/โ€‹Jโ€‹.โ€‹1โ€‹559โ€‰โ€“โ€‰1816.1998.TB01363.X

The bandยญwagยญon effect can also pose a chalยญlenge in PR, espeยญcially when manยญaging counter-narยญratยญives or attemptยญing to change pubยญlic opinยญion on a well-entrenched idea. Overcoming the inerยญtia of a widely held belief or trend requires straยญtegic and often more creยญatยญive comยญmuยญnicยญaยญtion efforts.

โ€œThe bandยญwagยญon effect in opinยญion polls can be genยญerยญated by conยญcavยญity in votersโ€™ utilยญity funcยญtions, makยญing electยญorยญal parยญtiยญcipยญaยญtion more costly for expecยญted loser supยญportยญers, and highยญlightยญing the role of risk averยญsion in this effect.โ€
Source: Public Choice 3Grillo, A. (2017). Risk averยญsion and bandยญwagยญon effect in the pivotal voter modยญel. Public Choice, 172, 465โ€‰โ€“โ€‰482. https://doi.org/10.1007/S11127-017โ€‘0457โ€‘5

The bandยญwagยญon effect is a double-edged sword in PR: it can be harยญnessed to ampยญliยญfy and spread a desired mesยญsage, but it also repยญresยญents a sigยญniยญficยญant hurdle when attemptยญing to shift pubยญlic opinยญion away from an estabยญlished trend.

Learn more: The Bandwagon Effect: Momentum Is Everything

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Annotations
Annotations
1 Marsh, C. (1985). Back on the Bandwagon: The Effect of Opinion Polls on Public Opinion. British Journal of Political Science, 15, 51โ€‰โ€”โ€‰74. https://โ€‹doiโ€‹.org/โ€‹1โ€‹0โ€‹.โ€‹1โ€‹0โ€‹1โ€‹7โ€‹/โ€‹Sโ€‹0โ€‹0โ€‹0โ€‹7โ€‹1โ€‹2โ€‹3โ€‹4โ€‹0โ€‹0โ€‹0โ€‹0โ€‹4โ€‹063.
2 Mehrabian, L. (1998). Effects of Poll Reports on Voter Preferences. Journal of Applied Social Psychology, 28, 2119โ€‰โ€“โ€‰2130. https://โ€‹doiโ€‹.org/โ€‹1โ€‹0โ€‹.โ€‹1โ€‹1โ€‹1โ€‹1โ€‹/โ€‹Jโ€‹.โ€‹1โ€‹559โ€‰โ€“โ€‰1816.1998.TB01363.X
3 Grillo, A. (2017). Risk averยญsion and bandยญwagยญon effect in the pivotal voter modยญel. Public Choice, 172, 465โ€‰โ€“โ€‰482. https://doi.org/10.1007/S11127-017โ€‘0457โ€‘5
Jerry Silfwer
Jerry Silfwerhttps://doctorspin.net/
Jerry Silfwer, alias Doctor Spin, is an awarded senior adviser specialising in public relations and digital strategy. Currently CEO at Spin Factory and KIX Communication Index. Before that, he worked at Kaufmann, Whispr Group, Springtime PR, and Spotlight PR. Based in Stockholm, Sweden.

The Cover Photo

The cover photo isn't related to public relations obviously; it's just a photo of mine. Think of it as a 'decorative diversion', a subtle reminder that it's good to have hobbies outside work.

The cover photo has

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