Doctor SpinThe PR BlogPublic Affairs & LobbyingPublic Opinion is Beyond Right or Wrong

Public Opinion is Beyond Right or Wrong

Those who set the agenda decide what we should think, say, and do.

Cover photo: @jerrysilfwer

Public opinยญion is beyยญond right or wrong.

โ€œItโ€™s unfair!โ€

In my role as a PR adviser, I hear those words often.

Many cliยญents argue that theyโ€™re not askยญing for mirยญacles. They only want the attenยญtion their organยญisaยญtion rightยญfully deserves.

I wish it were that simple. But pubยญlic opinยญion isnโ€™t fair.

Here goes:

Public Opinion and PR

โ€œPublic opinยญion is a comยญpound of folly, weakยญness, preยญjuยญdice, wrong feelยญing, right feelยญing, obstinยญacy, and newsยญpaยญper paraยญgraphs.โ€
โ€” Robert Peel

As a PR adviser, I encounter people who argue about fairยญness. However, when it comes to pubยญlic opinยญion, right or wrong is a secยญondยญary consideration.

How can this be?

Strictly speakยญing, right or wrong is determยญined in the court of law; PR is determยญined in the court of pubยญlic opinยญion. The courtยญhouse may hold the keys to our legยญal standยญings, but the court of pubยญlic senยญtiยญment rules supreme over our reputations.

  • Public opinยญion, regardยญless of its basis in fact or falยญlacy, wields a force that can lift us to unparยญalleled heights or bury us beneath the weight of its judgment.

And it could nevยญer be any different: 

  • Almost everyยญone experยญiยญenยญcing the immense presยญsure of negยญatยญive opinยญions feels theyโ€™re being mistreated.
  • Almost no one failยญing to be of interest to the pubยญlic feels their obscurยญity is deserved.

But if everyยญone, through the works of magic, got the pubยญlic opinยญion they think they deserve; there wouldnโ€™t be enough menยญtal bandยญwidth to go around.

The Scarcity of Attention

โ€œPublic opinยญion is a perยญmeatยญing influยญence, and it exacts obedยญiยญence to itself; it requires us to drink othยญer menโ€™s thoughts, to speak othยญer menโ€™s words, to folยญlow othยญer menโ€™s habits.โ€
โ€” Walter Bagehot

You could be doing PR for a lousy product or serยญvice, and the lousยญiยญness would be a sigยญniยญficยญant concern. 

But you could also be doing PR for an excepยญtionยญal product or serยญvice but facing PR strategies greatยญer than yours.

Public opinยญion is an emoยญtionยญal ecoยญnomy drivยญen by the scarcity of attenยญtion. Beyond the conยญfines of right and wrong, the pubยญlicโ€™s gaze exerts its power, elevยญatยญing or anniยญhilยญatยญing with unwaverยญing force.

Believing youโ€™re morยญally or intelยญlecยญtuยญally superยญiยญor isnโ€™t necesยญsarยญily a PR strength: a closed sysยญtems loop might obfusยญcate comยญpetยญitยญive develยญopยญment. Also, the pubยญlic might interยญpret overt disยญplays of rightยญeousยญness as entiยญtleยญment, narยญcissยญism, or megalomania.

The realm of pubยญlic opinยญion is a jungle with laws to match the context.

The genยญerยญal pubยญlic can be misยญtaken.
Consumers can make poor decisions.
Voters can elect the wrong politicians.

Right or wrong, the outยญcome is the outยญcome.
And the outยญcome is without mercy.

Perceptions Are Approximations

โ€œIt is not at all clear how much the media influยญences pubยญlic opinยญion and how much pubยญlic opinยญion influยญences the media.โ€
โ€” Bruce Jackson

Absolute truths are difยญfiยญcult startยญing points:

If you scratch the surยญface, youโ€™ll find that almost everything is conยญtestยญable. A glass could be half empty (refill needed!) or still half full (no refill, please!).

Whoโ€™s perยญcepยญtion should reign?

Walter Lippmann and Perception Management

In his semยญinยญal work Public Opinion (1922), Walter Lippmann laid the intelยญlecยญtuยญal groundยญwork for the idea that perยญcepยญtion and realยญity are not the sameโ€‰โ€”โ€‰a core prinยญciple of modยญern perยญcepยญtion manยญageยญment. 1Lippmann, Walter. 1960. Public Opinion (1922). New York: Macmillan.

Lippmann argued that:

  • People do not experยญiยญence realยญity dirยญectly; instead, they conยญstruct their underยญstandยญing of the world through โ€œpicยญtures in their heads.โ€
  • These menยญtal picยญtures are not formed from firsthand experยญiยญence but are shaped by media, elites, and propaganda.
  • The mass media act as a gateยญkeepยญer, decidยญing which events are importยญant and framยญing them in ways that manipยญuยญlate pubยญlic perception.
  • Public opinยญion is highly malยญleยญable, meanยญing whoยญever conยญtrols the narยญratยญive can conยญtrol realยญity for the audience.

Lippmannโ€™s ideas resยญonยญate deeply with perยญcepยญtion manยญageยญment in pubยญlic relations.

โ€œWe are all capยญtives of the picยญture in our headโ€‰โ€”โ€‰our belief that the world we have experยญiยญenced is the world that really exists.โ€
โ€” Walter Lippmann (1889โ€‰โ€“โ€‰1974)

On Creating Pseudo-Environments

Lippmann coined the term โ€œpseudo-envirยญonยญment,โ€ which describes the filtered, biased, and often artiยญfiยญcial verยญsion of realยญity presenยญted by the media. He warned that influยญenยญtial elites could exploit this manยญuยญfacยญtured realยญity to manipยญuยญlate pubยญlic thought and behaviour.

  • PR proยญfesยญsionยญals act as โ€œnarยญratยญive archiยญtectsโ€, shapยญing the pseudo-envirยญonยญment that audiยญences perceive.
  • The difยญferยญence between realยญity and perยญceived realยญity is an opporยญtunยญityโ€‰โ€”โ€‰or a liabยญilยญityโ€‰โ€”โ€‰for brands, politiยญcians, and institutions.
  • Managing pubยญlic opinยญion is not about chanยญging facts but about conยญtrolling the interยญpretยญaยญtion of those facts.
  • Crises are not just about what happened, but how they are perยญceivedโ€‰โ€”โ€‰hence, sucยญcessยญful PR strategies focus on perยญcepยญtion rather than objectยญive truth.

Lippmann was scepยญticยญal about the publicโ€™s abilยญity to disยญcern realยญity from the pseudo-envirยญonยญment, which raises ethยญicยญal concerns:

  • Should PR proยญfesยญsionยญals ethยญicยญally manipยญuยญlate perยญcepยญtion, even for a good cause?
  • Can sociยญety funcยญtion if perยญcepยญtion is more importยญant than truth?

Perception manยญageยญment is not inherยญently sinยญisยญter, but as Lippmann warned, it places immense power in the hands of those conยญtrolling the narrative. 

In essence, perยญcepยญtion manยญageยญment is the applied PR verยญsion of Lippmannโ€™s media criยญtique. It acknowยญledges that facts alone do not win pubยญlic trustโ€”primยญing, framยญing, storytelling, and emoยญtionยญal appeal do.

Learn more: Perception Management

The absoยญlute seems to exist in the natยญurยญal world, obeyยญing the laws of physยญics, but the world of perยญcepยญtions is flutยญterยญing shadยญows, danยญcing in the light of the fire against the cave wall.

Public opinยญion is not about right or wrong. Itโ€™s about who gets to decide how we see the world. And thatโ€™s why pubยญlic relaยญtions is essenยญtial in buildยญing a society.


Jerry Silfwer - Doctor Spin - Spin Factory - Public Relations

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PR Resource: Amplification Hypothesis

The Amplification Hypothesis

Itโ€™s comยญmon to find that counยญterยญarยญguยญments strengthen existยญing beliefs instead of weakยญenยญing them. 

The harder you attack someone verbally, the more you conยญvince them of their belief, not yours.

The pheยญnomenยญon is known as the ampยญliยญficยญaยญtion hypoยญthesยญis, where disยญplayยญing cerยญtainty about an attiยญtude when talkยญing with anothยญer perยญson increases and hardens that attitude.

โ€œAcross experยญiยญments, it is demonยญstrated that increasยญing attiยญtude cerยญtainty strengthens attiยญtudes (e.g., increases their resยญistยญance to perยญsuaยญsion) when attiยญtudes are uniยญvalent but weakยญens attiยญtudes (e.g., decreases their resยญistยญance to perยญsuaยญsion) when attiยญtudes are ambiยญvalยญent. These resยญults are conยญsistยญent with the ampยญliยญficยญaยญtion hypoยญthesยญis.โ€œ
Source: Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 2Clarkson, J. J., Tormala, Z. L., & Rucker, D. D. (2008). A new look at the conยญsequences of attiยญtude cerยญtainty: The ampยญliยญficยญaยญtion hypoยญthesยญis. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, โ€ฆ Continue readยญing

How does the ampยญliยญficยญaยญtion hypoยญthesยญis work? 

In a threatยญenยญing situยญation or emerยญgency, we resort to the primยญal (fastยญest) part of the brain and surยญvivยญal instincts (fight, flight and freeze). 3Surviving the Storm: Understanding the Nature of Attacks held at Animal Care Expo, 2011 in Orlando, FL.

  • Dichotomous thinkยญing. This thinkยญing style is at the heart of radยญicยญal moveยญments and funยญdaยญmentยญalยญism. Even people who exerยญcise abstract thinkยญing, logic, reasยญon, and the abilยญity to recogยญnize comยญplex issues can resort to this thinkยญing style when threatened. 4Silfwer, J. (2017, June 13). Conversion Theoryโ€‰โ€”โ€‰Disproportionate Minority Influence. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โ€‹docโ€‹torโ€‹spinโ€‹.net/โ€‹cโ€‹oโ€‹nโ€‹vโ€‹eโ€‹rโ€‹sโ€‹iโ€‹oโ€‹nโ€‹-โ€‹tโ€‹hโ€‹eโ€‹oโ€‹ry/
  • Egocentric thinkยญing. People who demonยญstrate non-egoยญcentric thinkยญing in many areas can also use this thinkยญing style under stress. When a tarยญget is labelled an enemy, cogยญnitยญive steps jusยญtiยญfy violยญent behaยญviour and preยญvent altruยญism and empathy. 5Beck (1999): Homogenization, Dehumanization and Demonization.
  • Distorted thinkยญing. We tend to ignore details in our envirยญonยญments that do not supยญport our thinkยญing and beliefs. 6Cognitive disยญsonยญance. (2023, November 20). In Wikipedia. https://โ€‹enโ€‹.wikiโ€‹peโ€‹diaโ€‹.org/โ€‹wโ€‹iโ€‹kโ€‹iโ€‹/โ€‹Cโ€‹oโ€‹gโ€‹nโ€‹iโ€‹tโ€‹iโ€‹vโ€‹eโ€‹_โ€‹dโ€‹iโ€‹sโ€‹sโ€‹oโ€‹nโ€‹aโ€‹nce

Establishing comยญmon ground and exhibยญitยญing empathy demonยญstrates a genuยญine underยญstandยญing of their perยญspectยญive, fosยญterยญing trust and openยญness to your ideas. Conversely, a straยญtegic misยญmatch of attiยญtudes can serve as a powerยญful counยญterยญmeasยญure if your objectยญive is to deflect perยญsuasยญive attempts.

Persuade

To perยญsuade, align your attiยญtude with the tarยญget. Otherwise, you will only act to creยญate resistance.

Provoke

To put off a perยญsuader, misยญmatch their attiยญtudes. When they are logicยญal, be emoยญtionยญal, and vice versa. 

Learn more: The Amplification Hypothesis: How To Counter Extreme Positions

Annotations
Annotations
1 Lippmann, Walter. 1960. Public Opinion (1922). New York: Macmillan.
2 Clarkson, J. J., Tormala, Z. L., & Rucker, D. D. (2008). A new look at the conยญsequences of attiยญtude cerยญtainty: The ampยญliยญficยญaยญtion hypoยญthesยญis. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 95(4), 810โ€‰โ€“โ€‰825. https://โ€‹doiโ€‹.org/โ€‹1โ€‹0โ€‹.โ€‹1โ€‹0โ€‹3โ€‹7โ€‹/โ€‹aโ€‹0โ€‹0โ€‹1โ€‹3โ€‹192
3 Surviving the Storm: Understanding the Nature of Attacks held at Animal Care Expo, 2011 in Orlando, FL.
4 Silfwer, J. (2017, June 13). Conversion Theoryโ€‰โ€”โ€‰Disproportionate Minority Influence. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://โ€‹docโ€‹torโ€‹spinโ€‹.net/โ€‹cโ€‹oโ€‹nโ€‹vโ€‹eโ€‹rโ€‹sโ€‹iโ€‹oโ€‹nโ€‹-โ€‹tโ€‹hโ€‹eโ€‹oโ€‹ry/
5 Beck (1999): Homogenization, Dehumanization and Demonization.
6 Cognitive disยญsonยญance. (2023, November 20). In Wikipedia. https://โ€‹enโ€‹.wikiโ€‹peโ€‹diaโ€‹.org/โ€‹wโ€‹iโ€‹kโ€‹iโ€‹/โ€‹Cโ€‹oโ€‹gโ€‹nโ€‹iโ€‹tโ€‹iโ€‹vโ€‹eโ€‹_โ€‹dโ€‹iโ€‹sโ€‹sโ€‹oโ€‹nโ€‹aโ€‹nce
Jerry Silfwer
Jerry Silfwerhttps://doctorspin.net/
Jerry Silfwer, alias Doctor Spin, is an awarded senior adviser specialising in public relations and digital strategy. Currently CEO at Spin Factory and KIX Communication Index. Before that, he worked at Whispr Group NYC, Springtime PR, and Spotlight PR. Based in Stockholm, Sweden.

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