Doctor SpinThe PR BlogPublic Affairs & LobbyingPublic Opinion is Beyond Right or Wrong

Public Opinion is Beyond Right or Wrong

Those who set the agenda decide what we should think, say, and do.

Cover photo: @jerrysilfwer

Public opin­ion is bey­ond right or wrong.

It’s unfair!”

In my role as a PR adviser, I hear those words often.

Many cli­ents argue that they’re not ask­ing for mir­acles. They only want the atten­tion their organ­isa­tion right­fully deserves.

I wish it were that simple. But pub­lic opin­ion isn’t fair.

Here goes:

Public Opinion and PR

Public opin­ion is a com­pound of folly, weak­ness, pre­ju­dice, wrong feel­ing, right feel­ing, obstin­acy, and news­pa­per para­graphs.”
— Robert Peel

As a PR adviser, I encounter people who argue about fair­ness. However, when it comes to pub­lic opin­ion, right or wrong is a sec­ond­ary consideration.

How can this be?

Strictly speak­ing, right or wrong is determ­ined in the court of law; PR is determ­ined in the court of pub­lic opin­ion. The court­house may hold the keys to our leg­al stand­ings, but the court of pub­lic sen­ti­ment rules supreme over our reputations.

  • Public opin­ion, regard­less of its basis in fact or fal­lacy, wields a force that can lift us to unpar­alleled heights or bury us beneath the weight of its judgment.

And it could nev­er be any different: 

  • Almost every­one exper­i­en­cing the immense pres­sure of neg­at­ive opin­ions feels they’re being mistreated.
  • Almost no one fail­ing to be of interest to the pub­lic feels their obscur­ity is deserved.

But if every­one, through the works of magic, got the pub­lic opin­ion they think they deserve; there wouldn’t be enough men­tal band­width to go around.

The Scarcity of Attention

Public opin­ion is a per­meat­ing influ­ence, and it exacts obed­i­ence to itself; it requires us to drink oth­er men’s thoughts, to speak oth­er men’s words, to fol­low oth­er men’s habits.”
— Walter Bagehot

You could be doing PR for a lousy product or ser­vice, and the lous­i­ness would be a sig­ni­fic­ant concern. 

But you could also be doing PR for an excep­tion­al product or ser­vice but facing PR strategies great­er than yours.

Public opin­ion is an emo­tion­al eco­nomy driv­en by the scarcity of atten­tion. Beyond the con­fines of right and wrong, the pub­lic’s gaze exerts its power, elev­at­ing or anni­hil­at­ing with unwaver­ing force.

Believing you’re mor­ally or intel­lec­tu­ally super­i­or isn’t neces­sar­ily a PR strength: a closed sys­tems loop might obfus­cate com­pet­it­ive devel­op­ment. Also, the pub­lic might inter­pret overt dis­plays of right­eous­ness as enti­tle­ment, nar­ciss­ism, or megalomania.

The realm of pub­lic opin­ion is a jungle with laws to match the context.

The gen­er­al pub­lic can be mis­taken.
Consumers can make poor decisions.
Voters can elect the wrong politicians.

Right or wrong, the out­come is the out­come.
And the out­come is without mercy.

Perceptions Are Approximations

It is not at all clear how much the media influ­ences pub­lic opin­ion and how much pub­lic opin­ion influ­ences the media.”
— Bruce Jackson

Absolute truths are dif­fi­cult start­ing points:

If you scratch the sur­face, you’ll find that almost everything is con­test­able. A glass could be half empty (refill needed!) or still half full (no refill, please!).

Who’s per­cep­tion should reign?

Walter Lippmann and Perception Management

In his sem­in­al work Public Opinion (1922), Walter Lippmann laid the intel­lec­tu­al ground­work for the idea that per­cep­tion and real­ity are not the same — a core prin­ciple of mod­ern per­cep­tion man­age­ment. 1Lippmann, Walter. 1960. Public Opinion (1922). New York: Macmillan.

Lippmann argued that:

  • People do not exper­i­ence real­ity dir­ectly; instead, they con­struct their under­stand­ing of the world through “pic­tures in their heads.”
  • These men­tal pic­tures are not formed from firsthand exper­i­ence but are shaped by media, elites, and propaganda.
  • The mass media act as a gate­keep­er, decid­ing which events are import­ant and fram­ing them in ways that manip­u­late pub­lic perception.
  • Public opin­ion is highly mal­le­able, mean­ing who­ever con­trols the nar­rat­ive can con­trol real­ity for the audience.

Lippmann’s ideas res­on­ate deeply with per­cep­tion man­age­ment in pub­lic relations.

We are all cap­tives of the pic­ture in our head — our belief that the world we have exper­i­enced is the world that really exists.”
— Walter Lippmann (1889 – 1974)

On Creating Pseudo-Environments

Lippmann coined the term “pseudo-envir­on­ment,” which describes the filtered, biased, and often arti­fi­cial ver­sion of real­ity presen­ted by the media. He warned that influ­en­tial elites could exploit this man­u­fac­tured real­ity to manip­u­late pub­lic thought and behaviour.

  • PR pro­fes­sion­als act as “nar­rat­ive archi­tects”, shap­ing the pseudo-envir­on­ment that audi­ences perceive.
  • The dif­fer­ence between real­ity and per­ceived real­ity is an oppor­tun­ity — or a liab­il­ity — for brands, politi­cians, and institutions.
  • Managing pub­lic opin­ion is not about chan­ging facts but about con­trolling the inter­pret­a­tion of those facts.
  • Crises are not just about what happened, but how they are per­ceived — hence, suc­cess­ful PR strategies focus on per­cep­tion rather than object­ive truth.

Lippmann was scep­tic­al about the public’s abil­ity to dis­cern real­ity from the pseudo-envir­on­ment, which raises eth­ic­al concerns:

  • Should PR pro­fes­sion­als eth­ic­ally manip­u­late per­cep­tion, even for a good cause?
  • Can soci­ety func­tion if per­cep­tion is more import­ant than truth?

Perception man­age­ment is not inher­ently sin­is­ter, but as Lippmann warned, it places immense power in the hands of those con­trolling the narrative. 

In essence, per­cep­tion man­age­ment is the applied PR ver­sion of Lippmann’s media cri­tique. It acknow­ledges that facts alone do not win pub­lic trust—prim­ing, fram­ing, storytelling, and emo­tion­al appeal do.

Learn more: Perception Management

The abso­lute seems to exist in the nat­ur­al world, obey­ing the laws of phys­ics, but the world of per­cep­tions is flut­ter­ing shad­ows, dan­cing in the light of the fire against the cave wall.

Public opin­ion is not about right or wrong. It’s about who gets to decide how we see the world. And that’s why pub­lic rela­tions is essen­tial in build­ing a society.


Jerry Silfwer - Doctor Spin - Spin Factory - Public Relations

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PR Resource: Amplification Hypothesis

The Amplification Hypothesis

It’s com­mon to find that coun­ter­ar­gu­ments strengthen exist­ing beliefs instead of weak­en­ing them. 

The harder you attack someone verbally, the more you con­vince them of their belief, not yours.

The phe­nomen­on is known as the amp­li­fic­a­tion hypo­thes­is, where dis­play­ing cer­tainty about an atti­tude when talk­ing with anoth­er per­son increases and hardens that attitude.

Across exper­i­ments, it is demon­strated that increas­ing atti­tude cer­tainty strengthens atti­tudes (e.g., increases their res­ist­ance to per­sua­sion) when atti­tudes are uni­valent but weak­ens atti­tudes (e.g., decreases their res­ist­ance to per­sua­sion) when atti­tudes are ambi­val­ent. These res­ults are con­sist­ent with the amp­li­fic­a­tion hypo­thes­is.“
Source: Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 2Clarkson, J. J., Tormala, Z. L., & Rucker, D. D. (2008). A new look at the con­sequences of atti­tude cer­tainty: The amp­li­fic­a­tion hypo­thes­is. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, … Continue read­ing

How does the amp­li­fic­a­tion hypo­thes­is work? 

In a threat­en­ing situ­ation or emer­gency, we resort to the prim­al (fast­est) part of the brain and sur­viv­al instincts (fight, flight and freeze). 3Surviving the Storm: Understanding the Nature of Attacks held at Animal Care Expo, 2011 in Orlando, FL.

  • Dichotomous think­ing. This think­ing style is at the heart of rad­ic­al move­ments and fun­da­ment­al­ism. Even people who exer­cise abstract think­ing, logic, reas­on, and the abil­ity to recog­nize com­plex issues can resort to this think­ing style when threatened. 4Silfwer, J. (2017, June 13). Conversion Theory — Disproportionate Minority Influence. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://​doc​tor​spin​.net/​c​o​n​v​e​r​s​i​o​n​-​t​h​e​o​ry/
  • Egocentric think­ing. People who demon­strate non-ego­centric think­ing in many areas can also use this think­ing style under stress. When a tar­get is labelled an enemy, cog­nit­ive steps jus­ti­fy viol­ent beha­viour and pre­vent altru­ism and empathy. 5Beck (1999): Homogenization, Dehumanization and Demonization.
  • Distorted think­ing. We tend to ignore details in our envir­on­ments that do not sup­port our think­ing and beliefs. 6Cognitive dis­son­ance. (2023, November 20). In Wikipedia. https://​en​.wiki​pe​dia​.org/​w​i​k​i​/​C​o​g​n​i​t​i​v​e​_​d​i​s​s​o​n​a​nce

Establishing com­mon ground and exhib­it­ing empathy demon­strates a genu­ine under­stand­ing of their per­spect­ive, fos­ter­ing trust and open­ness to your ideas. Conversely, a stra­tegic mis­match of atti­tudes can serve as a power­ful coun­ter­meas­ure if your object­ive is to deflect per­suas­ive attempts.

Persuade

To per­suade, align your atti­tude with the tar­get. Otherwise, you will only act to cre­ate resistance.

Provoke

To put off a per­suader, mis­match their atti­tudes. When they are logic­al, be emo­tion­al, and vice versa. 

Learn more: The Amplification Hypothesis: How To Counter Extreme Positions

Annotations
Annotations
1 Lippmann, Walter. 1960. Public Opinion (1922). New York: Macmillan.
2 Clarkson, J. J., Tormala, Z. L., & Rucker, D. D. (2008). A new look at the con­sequences of atti­tude cer­tainty: The amp­li­fic­a­tion hypo­thes­is. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 95(4), 810 – 825. https://​doi​.org/​1​0​.​1​0​3​7​/​a​0​0​1​3​192
3 Surviving the Storm: Understanding the Nature of Attacks held at Animal Care Expo, 2011 in Orlando, FL.
4 Silfwer, J. (2017, June 13). Conversion Theory — Disproportionate Minority Influence. Doctor Spin | The PR Blog. https://​doc​tor​spin​.net/​c​o​n​v​e​r​s​i​o​n​-​t​h​e​o​ry/
5 Beck (1999): Homogenization, Dehumanization and Demonization.
6 Cognitive dis­son­ance. (2023, November 20). In Wikipedia. https://​en​.wiki​pe​dia​.org/​w​i​k​i​/​C​o​g​n​i​t​i​v​e​_​d​i​s​s​o​n​a​nce
Jerry Silfwer
Jerry Silfwerhttps://doctorspin.net/
Jerry Silfwer, alias Doctor Spin, is an awarded senior adviser specialising in public relations and digital strategy. Currently CEO at Spin Factory and KIX Communication Index. Before that, he worked at Whispr Group NYC, Springtime PR, and Spotlight PR. Based in Stockholm, Sweden.

The Cover Photo

The cover photo isn't related to public relations obviously; it's just a photo of mine. Think of it as a 'decorative diversion', a subtle reminder that it's good to have hobbies outside work.

The cover photo has

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